Politics prediction markets

6,953 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Politics Sports Culture Crypto Climate Economics Mentions Companies Financials Tech Science Health World Clear categories

Showing 3,937-3,984 of 6,953 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiPolitics

Will Luz Rivas win the CA-29 House seat?

Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 CA-29 House election? (Luz Rivas)

Related contracts

PM Yes 93.5%Rules differK Yes 94%

Will Angélica María Dueñas win the CA-29 House seat?

Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 CA-29 House election? (Angélica María Dueñas)

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.6%Rules differK Yes 3.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader?

K 3.1K contracts

Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 23%

Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9.5%

Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 6%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

When will Dominic LeBlanc and Jamieson Greer meet?

K 3.1K contracts

Will LeBlanc and Greer meet in person before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 80%

Will LeBlanc and Greer meet in person before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 64.5%

Will LeBlanc and Greer meet in person before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 61%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

PM $6.3K

Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31?Yes 17%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Florida Attorney General winner?

PM $6.3K · K 21.8K contracts

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Attorney General election?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Florida?

Related contracts

PM Yes 81%Rules differK Yes 78.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Attorney General election?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Florida?

Related contracts

PM Yes 18%Rules differK Yes 20.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Maine Governor margin of victory

K 3.1K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Maine be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 93.3%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Maine be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 85.2%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Maine be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 75.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Will Trump suspend habeas corpus?

K 3.1K contracts

Will Trump suspend habeas corpus?Yes 10.2%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 27, 2029 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?

PM $6.3K

Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?Yes 7%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

MD-07 House election: Kweisi Mfume vote percent

K 3.1K contracts

Will Kweisi Mfume receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-07 House election?Yes 97%

Will Kweisi Mfume receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-07 House election?Yes 97%

Will Kweisi Mfume receive at least 78% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-07 House election?Yes 96%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Sweden snap election called in 2026?

PM $6.3K

Sweden snap election called in 2026?Yes 14.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

KY-06 House election: Zach Dembo vote percent

K 3.1K contracts

Will Zach Dembo receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-06 House election?Yes 97%

Will Zach Dembo receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-06 House election?Yes 96.5%

Will Zach Dembo receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-06 House election?Yes 95%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Campeche Congress Election Winner

PM $6.3K

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Campeche Congress election?Yes 36%

Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Campeche Congress election?Yes 35.5%

Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Campeche Congress election?Yes 9.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Louisiana Senate winner? (2028)

K 3.1K contracts

Will Republicans win the Senate race in Louisiana?Yes 87%

Will Democratics win the Senate race in Louisiana?Yes 13.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Israel military action against Iraq by...?

PM $6.3K

Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?Yes 18.9%

1 mktNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

PA-02 House election: Jessica Arriaga vote percent

K 3.1K contracts

Will Jessica Arriaga receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-02 House election?Yes 95.5%

Will Jessica Arriaga receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-02 House election?Yes 85%

Will Jessica Arriaga receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-02 House election?Yes 64%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?

PM $6.3K

Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?Yes 2.1%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Texas Governor election: Gina Hinojosa vote percent

K 3.1K contracts

Will Gina Hinojosa receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election?Yes 97%

Will Gina Hinojosa receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election?Yes 97%

Will Gina Hinojosa receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election?Yes 97%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Turkey military action against Yemen by...?

PM $6.2K

Turkey military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.5%

Turkey military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Yes 0.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Travis County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent

K 3.1K contracts

Will James Talarico receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Travis County, Texas?Yes 96%

Will James Talarico receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Travis County, Texas?Yes 81%

Will James Talarico receive at least 75% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Travis County, Texas?Yes 68%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory

PM $6.2K

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 5%-10%?Yes 32%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 0%-5%?Yes 22.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 0%-5%?Yes 14.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

CA-28 House winner?

K 3.1K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for CA-28?Yes 97.4%

Will Republican win the House race for CA-28?Yes 2.1%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

PM $6.1K

Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?Yes 4.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

MD-02 House election: Johnny Olszewski vote percent

K 3.1K contracts

Will Johnny Olszewski receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-02 House election?Yes 95%

Will Johnny Olszewski receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-02 House election?Yes 91%

Will Johnny Olszewski receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-02 House election?Yes 80%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Trump approval rating on October 23?

PM $6.1K

Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on October 23, 2026?Yes 39.5%

Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on October 23, 2026?Yes 26%

Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on October 23, 2026?Yes 19%

+3 moreNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

TX-04 House election: Pat Fallon vote percent

K 3.1K contracts

Will Pat Fallon receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-04 House election?Yes 96%

Will Pat Fallon receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-04 House election?Yes 92%

Will Pat Fallon receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-04 House election?Yes 81%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Quintana Roo Congress Election Winner

PM $6.1K

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Quintana Roo Congress election?Yes 75.5%

Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Quintana Roo Congress election?Yes 7.5%

Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Quintana Roo Congress election?Yes 6.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

MS-04 House election: Mike Ezell vote percent

K 3.1K contracts

Will Mike Ezell receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-04 House election?Yes 93.5%

Will Mike Ezell receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-04 House election?Yes 87%

Will Mike Ezell receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-04 House election?Yes 76%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Nantou County Magistrate Election Winner

PM $6.1K

Will Hsu Shu-hua win the next Nantou County Magistrate election?Yes 95%

Will Wen Shih-cheng win the next Nantou County Magistrate election?Yes 3%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

NJ-10 House election: Carmen Bucco vote percent

K 3.1K contracts

Will Carmen Bucco receive at least 12% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-10 House election?Yes 93.5%

Will Carmen Bucco receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-10 House election?Yes 84%

Will Carmen Bucco receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-10 House election?Yes 70%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Next President of Germany?

PM $6.0K

Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?Yes 60.5%

Will Karin Prien be the next President of Germany?Yes 21.5%

Will Julia Klöckner be the next President of Germany?Yes 13.8%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 30, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Which Senators will vote for Heidi Overton?

K 3.1K contracts

Will Rand Paul vote for Heidi Overton?Yes 70.5%

Will Thom Tillis vote for Heidi Overton?Yes 47%

Will Mitch McConnell vote for Heidi Overton?Yes 40%

+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Which party will win young men in the midterms?

PM $6.0K

Will Democrats win young men in the midterms?Yes 85.5%

Will Republicans win young men in the midterms?Yes 13%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Will FIFA scrap its Peace Prize at its December meeting?

K 3.1K contracts

Will it be reported by FIFA, the Associated Press, or Reuters that the FIFA Council decides at its December 2026 meeting to discontinue the FIFA Peace Prize before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 40%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in São Paulo

PM $6.0K

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?Yes 97.8%

Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?Yes 2.2%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture

K 3.1K contracts

Will Penélope Cruz be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 90%

Will Anne Hathaway be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 89.5%

Will Samantha Morton be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 72.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?

PM $5.9K

Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?Yes 90%

1 mktNext deadline Dec 23, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Hair and Makeup

K 3.1K contracts

Will Werwulf be on the list of nominees for Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 93.5%

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 83%

Will Digger be on the list of nominees for Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 61%

+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

AP calls the House by...?

PM $5.9K

Will AP call US House control by November 15, 11:59 PM?Yes 98.8%

Will AP call US House control by November 6, 11:59 PM?Yes 96.9%

Will AP call US House control by November 30, 11:59 PM?Yes 93.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Politics prediction markets

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Pickering, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Etsy Gross Merchandise Sales in Q3

Hidalgo Congress Election Winner

Bosniak member of the Presidency winner?

Prešov Region Governor Election Winner

College Football: #1 Ranked Team on Oct 25 AP Poll

Brampton, ON Mayoral Election Winner

KY-02 House winner?

Oaxaca Congress Election Winner

CA-29 House winner?

When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader?

When will Dominic LeBlanc and Jamieson Greer meet?

Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

Florida Attorney General winner?

Maine Governor margin of victory

Will Trump suspend habeas corpus?

Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?

MD-07 House election: Kweisi Mfume vote percent

Sweden snap election called in 2026?

KY-06 House election: Zach Dembo vote percent

Campeche Congress Election Winner

Louisiana Senate winner? (2028)

Israel military action against Iraq by...?

PA-02 House election: Jessica Arriaga vote percent

Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?

Texas Governor election: Gina Hinojosa vote percent

Turkey military action against Yemen by...?

Travis County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent

Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory

CA-28 House winner?

Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

MD-02 House election: Johnny Olszewski vote percent

Trump approval rating on October 23?

TX-04 House election: Pat Fallon vote percent

Quintana Roo Congress Election Winner

MS-04 House election: Mike Ezell vote percent

Nantou County Magistrate Election Winner

NJ-10 House election: Carmen Bucco vote percent

Next President of Germany?

Which Senators will vote for Heidi Overton?

Which party will win young men in the midterms?

Will FIFA scrap its Peace Prize at its December meeting?

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in São Paulo

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture

Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Hair and Makeup

AP calls the House by...?