Browse prediction markets

Will any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?Yes 18.5%

1 mktNext deadline Dec 30, 2036 UTC

Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?Yes 15%

Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?

PM $5.7K

1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

NY-26 House election: Tim Kennedy vote percent

Will Tim Kennedy receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-26 House election?Yes 94%

Will Tim Kennedy receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-26 House election?Yes 85%

Will Tim Kennedy receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-26 House election?Yes 70%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?Yes 49.5%

Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

PM $5.6K

Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31?Yes 11.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

DCCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

Will the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee report more than $60M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 58%

Will the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee report more than $50M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50.5%

Will the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee report more than $45M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 20, 2026 UTC

Will the Democratic Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 58%

Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026?

PM $5.6K

Will the Republican Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 42.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Arizona Attorney General winner?

PM $5.6K · K 45.7K contracts

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Arizona?

Related contracts

PM Yes 82.5%Rules differK Yes 82.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Arizona?

Related contracts

PM Yes 14.5%Rules differK Yes 16.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

WV-01 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for WV-01?Yes 97%

Will Democratic win the House race for WV-01?Yes 2.6%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Wisconsin Secretary of State winner?

Will the Democratic party win the Secretary of State election in Wisconsin?Yes 77%

Will the Republican party win the Secretary of State election in Wisconsin?Yes 22.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election?Yes 66.5%

Mexico City Congress Election Winner

PM $5.6K

Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election?Yes 10.3%

Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election?Yes 9.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC

120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?

Will Chuck Schumer announce a run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?Yes 97%

Will Brian Schatz announce a run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?Yes 20%

Will Chris Murphy announce a run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?Yes 5%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?Yes 20.5%

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31?

PM $5.5K

Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?Yes 8%

Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?Yes 5.8%

+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Wyoming Senate General Election: voter turnout

Will the total vote count for all participants in Wyoming Senate General Election be above 170000?Yes 87%

Will the total vote count for all participants in Wyoming Senate General Election be above 180000?Yes 74.5%

Will the total vote count for all participants in Wyoming Senate General Election be above 190000?Yes 57.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?Yes 34.5%

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 19?

PM $5.5K

Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?Yes 33%

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?Yes 26.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Kansas Attorney General winner?

PM $5.5K · K 7.5K contracts

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Kansas?

Related contracts

PM Yes 54%Rules differK Yes 56.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Kansas?

Related contracts

PM Yes 46.5%Rules differK Yes 44.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

Arizona's 5th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 5th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 83%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 5th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 73%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 5th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 58.5%

MS-02 House election: Ron Eller vote percent

Will Ron Eller receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-02 House election?Yes 93.5%

Will Ron Eller receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-02 House election?Yes 88%

Will Ron Eller receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-02 House election?Yes 77%

Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 26.5%

Ted Cruz # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?

PM $5.5K

Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 26%

Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 22.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC

KalshiEntertainment

Will Ella Langley hold all Top 3 spots on the Billboard Hot 100 this year?

Will Ella Langley rank 1, 2, and 3 on the same weekly Billboard Hot 100 chart published in 2026?Yes 6.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC

Texas Senate favorite on November 2?

Texas Senate favorite on November 2?View outcomes

1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

MI-01 House election: Callie Barr vote percent

Will Callie Barr receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-01 House election?Yes 96%

Will Callie Barr receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-01 House election?Yes 93%

Will Callie Barr receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-01 House election?Yes 86%

Nayarit Congress Election Winner

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?Yes 71.5%

Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?Yes 11%

Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?Yes 4.6%

+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC

FL-17 House election: Greg Steube vote percent

Will Greg Steube receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-17 House election?Yes 94%

Will Greg Steube receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-17 House election?Yes 88%

Will Greg Steube receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-17 House election?Yes 73%

Maine Governor Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Yes 34%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?Yes 30.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?Yes 21.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiEconomics

What will the tariff rate on Canadian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?

Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be at least 10% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 85.5%

Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be at least 50% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50.5%

Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be at least 40% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

New South Wales Legislative Council: Most Seats After Election

Will Labor hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?Yes 60%

Will Liberal–National hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?Yes 21.5%

Will Greens hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?Yes 8%

+5 moreNext deadline Mar 28, 2027 UTC

Virginia's 2nd District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 2nd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 80%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 2nd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 60%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 2nd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 46.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Which party will win the Maine State Senate in 2026?

Will the Democratic Party control the Maine Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 92.5%

Will the Republican Party control the Maine Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 4.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Illinois's 17th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 17th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 92.3%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 17th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 86.3%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 17th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 73.5%