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Showing 385-432 of 835 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiScience and Technology
Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?
K 9.1K contractsWill OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?Yes 53%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 20?
PM $3.0KWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 20?Yes 44.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 20?Yes 41%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 20?Yes 7%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Chicago in Oct 2026?
K 8.5K contractsRain in Chicago in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 33.5%
Rain in Chicago in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 15%
Rain in Chicago in Oct 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 7.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on October 20?
PM $2.9KWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 20?Yes 55.5%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 20?Yes 31.5%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 20?Yes 7%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
OpenAI share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 8.5K contractsOpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 20.4%Yes 48.5%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 18.9%Yes 48%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 21.5%Yes 47%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on October 18?
PM $2.9KWill the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C on October 18?Yes 95.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -1°C on October 18?Yes 8.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 1°C on October 18?Yes 5.3%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
K 8.4K contractsTop coding AI on October 31, 2026 (Arena.ai)? (Claude)Yes 54%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (Arena.ai)? (ChatGPT)Yes 13%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (Arena.ai)? (Gemini)Yes 2.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on October 20?
PM $2.9KWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 20?Yes 44.5%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 20?Yes 43%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 20?Yes 10%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
How many major Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
K 8.2K contractsWill there be more than 6 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will there be more than 7 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 72.5%
Will there be more than 8 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 37.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on October 20?
PM $2.8KWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 20?Yes 54.5%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 20?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 20?Yes 9.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Houston on Oct 18, 2026?
K 8.2K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 74-75° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 76.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 76-77° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 16%
Will the maximum temperature be 72-73° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 4%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on October 18?
PM $2.8KWill the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C on October 18?Yes 51%
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 21°C on October 18?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 20°C on October 18?Yes 11%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026
K 8.0K contractsWill WTF GOIN rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will Todo Lo Fue rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will The Live Footage That Launched Van Halen on MTV | Oakland Coliseum 1981 rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?
PM $2.8KWill 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?Yes 10.2%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
K 8.0K contractsWhen will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before April 2027)Yes 72%
When will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before 2027)Yes 51.5%
When will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before December)Yes 34.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Busan on October 20?
PM $2.8KWill the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 20?Yes 34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 20?Yes 27.5%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 20?Yes 21.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 18, 2026?
K 8.0K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 61-62° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 79.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 63-64° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 14.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 59-60° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 8%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 19?
PM $2.7KWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 19?Yes 36.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 19?Yes 27%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 19?Yes 22%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Number of data centers in California this year?
K 7.9K contractsWill California have at least 300 data centers this year?Yes 84%
Will California have at least 305 data centers this year?Yes 68%
Will California have at least 315 data centers this year?Yes 39.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
All-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?
PM $2.7KAll-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?Yes 22%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season?
K 7.7K contractsWill the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season be at least 2.5°C?Yes 85%
Will the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season be between 1.5°C and 1.9°C?Yes 7%
Will the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season be between 2.0°C and 2.4°C?Yes 5.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 20?
PM $2.7KWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 20?Yes 48.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?Yes 28.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 20?Yes 18.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will OpenAI release GPT-7?
K 7.7K contractsWill OpenAI release GPT-7 before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 82.5%
Will OpenAI release GPT-7 before Sep 1, 2027?Yes 58.5%
Will OpenAI release GPT-7 before Jun 1, 2027?Yes 33.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Mar 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 20?
PM $2.4KWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 20?Yes 50%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 20?Yes 14%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
OpenAI share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 7.3K contractsOpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 18.6%Yes 63.5%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 26.8%Yes 49%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 26.0%Yes 49%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
October 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
PM $2.3KWill global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026?Yes 42%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026?Yes 34.5%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026?Yes 23%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many human H5N1 cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 7.2K contractsAbove 0 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026Yes 69%
Above 1 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026Yes 53.5%
Above 2 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026Yes 43.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Beijing on October 20?
PM $2.3KWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 20?Yes 34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 20?Yes 24.5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 20?Yes 20%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 18, 2026?
K 7.1K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 41-42° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 37-38° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 1.5%
Will the minimum temperature be >42° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on October 20?
PM $2.2KWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 20?Yes 62%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 20?Yes 31.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 20?Yes 6.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Who will perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?
K 7.0K contractsWill Drake perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?Yes 49.5%
Will Fred again.. perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?Yes 49%
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?Yes 44.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Beijing on October 18?
PM $2.1KWill the lowest temperature in Beijing be 5°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 6°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 7°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+3 more
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will Madison fall below 30°F before November 2026?
K 7.0K contractsWill Madison fall below 30°F from issuance through Oct 31, 2026?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in London on October 19?
PM $2.0KWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 19?Yes 57%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 19?Yes 32%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on October 19?Yes 21.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Houston in Oct 2026?
K 6.9K contractsRain in Houston in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 58%
Rain in Houston in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 33%
Rain in Houston in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 15%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on October 20?
PM $2.0KWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 20?Yes 48.5%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 20?Yes 42%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 20?Yes 7%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Columbus vs Minnesota: Assists
K 6.9K contractsQuinn Hughes: 1+ assistsYes 67%
Zach Werenski: 1+ assistsYes 49.5%
Kirill Kaprizov: 1+ assistsYes 48%
+30 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in NYC on October 20?
PM $1.9KWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 20?Yes 48%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 20?Yes 29%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 20?Yes 14.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience
Forever: First Week Album Equivalent Units
K 6.7K contractsWill Forever by The Big Moon have above 2000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 35.5%
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 5000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 12.5%
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 7000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 6.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Karachi on October 20?
PM $1.8KWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 20?Yes 43.5%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 20?Yes 41%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 20?Yes 8%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Columbus vs Minnesota: Goals
K 6.6K contractsKirill Kaprizov: 1+ goalsYes 47%
Matt Boldy: 1+ goalsYes 40.5%
Joel Eriksson Ek: 1+ goalsYes 31%
+57 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chongqing on October 20?
PM $1.8KWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 20?Yes 48%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 20?Yes 28.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 20?Yes 16%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
K 6.6K contractsWhen will the FDA approve Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema? (Before 2028)Yes 90.5%
When will the FDA approve Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema? (Before October 2027)Yes 89%
When will the FDA approve Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema? (Before July 2027)Yes 88.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 19?
PM $1.8KWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 19?Yes 35%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 19?Yes 31.5%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 19?Yes 14.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience
Forever: First Week Streams
K 6.5K contractsWill Forever by The Big Moon have above 50000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 48%
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 100000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 32.5%
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 250000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 27%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on October 18?
PM $1.7KWill the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on October 18?Yes 50.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 24°C or below on October 18?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C on October 18?Yes 46%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Google share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 6.2K contractsGoogle Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 11.9%Yes 76.5%
Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 13.0%Yes 62%
Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 12.9%Yes 59.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Lucknow on October 20?
PM $1.5KWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 20?Yes 62.5%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 20?Yes 19.5%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 20?Yes 13.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC