Yes0%-15.8%
Vol$2.19M
Outcomes2
Event
MarketKALSHIactive
MarketKALSHIactiveOther
Will Bitcoin be above $200000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET?
Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?NoNo Price
100¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$2.19M
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Jan 31, 2027
in about 1 yearWill Bitcoin be above $200000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET?
No
100¢
|
Vol
$2.19M
|
Outcomes
2
Yes0.2¢
No99.8¢
Price History
Will Bitcoin be above $200000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
January 31, 2027
5:00 AM GMT+0
Accuracy
100%
Resolved
8,750
Avg Time
< 24 hours
Disputes
0%
Resolution Criteria
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $200000 starting 2025-10-10 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time. This market will close and expire early if Bitcoin crosses the specified price threshold.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
380 Days Left
January 31, 2027 • 5:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago