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Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be below -3.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

Yes0%

Vol$0.00

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Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be below -3.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

Part of: North Carolina early voters: party registration margin?

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100¢

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

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Ends

Feb 2, 2027

in 4 months

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Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be below -3.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

100¢

Vol

$0.00

Outcomes

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Yes0.1¢

No99.9¢

Price History

Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be below -3.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

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Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

February 02, 2027

3:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

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Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

Resolution Criteria

If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is below -3.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value is the Democrat figure minus the Republican figure in the "Percent" column of the "Total Voted by Party Registration" table on the North Carolina page of the UF Election Lab's 2026 Early Voting Tracker, as displayed to one decimal place at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026. Total Voted includes in-person early votes and returned mail ballots. If the page is unavailable at that time, the same percentages computed from the voteddem, votedrep and voted_none values for North Carolina in the UF Election Lab's 2026 early vote data file (https://election.lab.ufl.edu/data-downloads/earlyvote/2026/US.csv) and rounded to one decimal place are used. A negative value is a Republican lead. Each range includes both of its endpoints. Updates posted after that time are not counted.

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This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

113 Days Left

February 02, 2027 • 3:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Event Group

North Carolina early voters: party registration margin?

Event

North Carolina early voters: party registration margin?