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Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Kendrick Jarrell Beaird in Beaird v. United States

Yes1%

Vol$0.00

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Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Kendrick Jarrell Beaird in Beaird v. United States

Part of: Will SCOTUS overturn or narrow Stinson deference to federal sentencing-guideline commentary?

NoNo Price

99¢

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

Outcomes

Ends

Aug 1, 2028

in almost 2 years

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Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Kendrick Jarrell Beaird in Beaird v. United States

99¢

Vol

$0.00

Outcomes

Trade

Yes0.7¢

No99.3¢

Price History

Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Kendrick Jarrell Beaird in Beaird v. United States

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Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

August 01, 2028

2:00 PM GMT+0

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Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

Resolution Criteria

If the Supreme Court, in Beaird v. United States, rules courts must independently interpret the Sentencing Guidelines or apply a narrower deference framework than Stinson when considering Guidelines commentary, then the market resolves to Yes. The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled, in Beaird v. United States, that Stinson v. United States no longer correctly states the rule governing the deference courts must give commentary to the Sentencing Guidelines, including by requiring courts to exercise independent judgment or apply a materially narrower deference framework than Stinson’s rule that such commentary is authoritative unless it violates the Constitution or a federal statute, is inconsistent with the guideline, or is a plainly erroneous reading of the guideline, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. The market resolves to No if the Court holds that Stinson still correctly states the governing rule. A vacatur or remand resolves to Yes only if accompanied by a merits ruling satisfying the foregoing condition; a dismissal, dismissal as improvidently granted, or remand without such a ruling resolves to No. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

659 Days Left

August 01, 2028 • 2:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Event Group

Will SCOTUS overturn or narrow Stinson deference to federal sentencing-guideline commentary?

Event

Will SCOTUS overturn or narrow Stinson deference to federal sentencing-guideline commentary?