Yes1%-0.2%
Vol$165.46K
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?
Part of: SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12NoNo Price
99¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$165.46K
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
in 16 daysWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?
No
99¢
|
Vol
$165.46K
|
Outcomes
2
Yes1.0¢
No99.0¢
Price History
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
January 31, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
15 Days Left
January 31, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago