Yes17%+0.5%
Vol$128.53K
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Part of: How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?NoNo Price
84¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$128.53K
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
in 6 monthsWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
No
84¢
|
Vol
$128.53K
|
Outcomes
2
Yes16.5¢
No83.5¢
Price History
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
June 30, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
165 Days Left
June 30, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago