This contract asks whether Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, the Brazilian president, will nominate an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by a listed deadline [1]. The event page describes the contract as resolving to "Yes" if Lula nominates an individual for that post by the listed date at 11:59 PM Brasilia time, and to "No" otherwise [1]. The question concerns a formal nomination or an official announcement of one. It does not ask who the nominee would be. The resolution wording is specific. An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic stating that he has nominated someone for the post is sufficient, "regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred" [1]. A formal nomination counts when a nomination message is submitted to the President of the Federal Senate [1]. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, statements of intention to nominate someone in the future, and announcements that merely reveal potential candidates do not qualify. Media reports, speculation, and other unofficial information also do not qualify [1]. The primary resolution source is official information from the Presidency of the Republic, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. The event lists an end time of 2027-01-01T02:59:00Z and is marked active [1]. That end time is a contract closing time, not an announced date for any nomination. The saved event contains two markets with different deadlines, one asking about nomination by October 31 and one by December 31 [1]. Each is a separate contract with its own closing time. They should be read on their own terms rather than combined into one forecast. For background on the official, Wikipedia describes Lula as a Brazilian politician, trade unionist and former metalworker who has served as president of Brazil since 2023 and from 2003 to 2011, and as a member of the Workers' Party [2]. That description is historical background from a retrieved encyclopedia entry. It is not a current-events check of who holds office today.

Historical Context

Wikipedia describes the second presidency of Lula da Silva as beginning on 1 January 2023, when he returned to office for a third term as president [3]. The source states he was elected in the second round of the 2022 presidential election, defeating incumbent Jair Bolsonaro, and that he became the first Brazilian president elected to three terms [3]. The same source says the administration took office amid deep political polarization and the aftermath of the 2022-2023 Brazilian coup attempt, with the 8 January attacks on government institutions among its first major crises [3]. These sources do not address any Supreme Court vacancy or the reasons a nomination might be made, so this section does not explain the market's subject matter beyond the official's background.

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