Market snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 28, 2026?

Reported volume

K 98.1K contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 28, 2026?

Vol

K 98.1K contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is 38.4% at 29.5%.

Kalshi

38.4%29.5%
38.5%23.5%
Above 38.7%17.5%
38.6%13.5%
38.3%11.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

9 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.4 on Oct 28, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.4 on Oct 28, 2026?	Kalshi	29.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.5 on Oct 28, 2026?	Kalshi	23.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 38.7 on Oct 28, 2026?	Kalshi	17.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.6 on Oct 28, 2026?	Kalshi	13.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.3 on Oct 28, 2026?	Kalshi	11.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.7 on Oct 28, 2026?	Kalshi	7.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.1 on Oct 28, 2026?	Kalshi	2.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.2 on Oct 28, 2026?	Kalshi	2.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.1 on Oct 28, 2026?	Kalshi	2.5%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 98.1K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

On Oct 28, 2026 If Trump's RCP approval average is X Y at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 28, 2026?
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 98.1K contracts
Coverage: 9 of 9 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.1 on Oct 28, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT28-U38.1; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct28
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 7.3K contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.1% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.7 on Oct 28, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT28-E38.7; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct28
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 6.1K contracts
Outcome Yes: 7.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.7% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.6 on Oct 28, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT28-E38.6; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct28
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 7.8K contracts
Outcome Yes: 13.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 86.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.5 on Oct 28, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT28-E38.5; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct28
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 5.2K contracts
Outcome Yes: 23.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 76.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.4 on Oct 28, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT28-E38.4; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct28
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 16.1K contracts
Outcome Yes: 29.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 70.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.4% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.3 on Oct 28, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT28-E38.3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct28
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 4.4K contracts
Outcome Yes: 11.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 88.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.3% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.2 on Oct 28, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT28-E38.2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct28
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 2.5K contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.2% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.1 on Oct 28, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT28-E38.1; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct28
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 23.3K contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.1% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 38.7 on Oct 28, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT28-A38.7; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct28
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 25.4K contracts
Outcome Yes: 17.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 82.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is above 38.7% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 28, 2026?

Volume$98.06K

Markets9

9 of 9

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Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.4 on Oct 28, 2026?

kalshi

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.4 on Oct 28, 2026?

Yes: 29.5¢
No: 70.5¢

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.5 on Oct 28, 2026?

kalshi

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.5 on Oct 28, 2026?

Yes: 23.5¢
No: 76.5¢

Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 38.7 on Oct 28, 2026?

kalshi

Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 38.7 on Oct 28, 2026?

Yes: 17.5¢
No: 82.5¢

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.6 on Oct 28, 2026?

kalshi

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.6 on Oct 28, 2026?

Yes: 13.5¢
No: 86.5¢

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.3 on Oct 28, 2026?

kalshi

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.3 on Oct 28, 2026?

Yes: 11.5¢
No: 88.5¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics

Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be below 36% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub?

Related contracts

PM Yes 83%Rules differK Yes 77.5%

Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be below 35% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub?

Related contracts

PM Yes 31%Rules differK Yes 41.5%

Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be below 34% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub?

Related contracts

PM Yes 18%Rules differK Yes 21.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

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Next Market Deadline

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Oct 28, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

Same-question pairs

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 28, 2026?

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 28, 2026?

Current odds

Kalshi

Price ChartContract price history

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.4 on Oct 28, 2026?

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

AI Analysis

About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 28, 2026?

Markets (9)

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.4 on Oct 28, 2026?

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.5 on Oct 28, 2026?

Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 38.7 on Oct 28, 2026?

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.6 on Oct 28, 2026?

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.3 on Oct 28, 2026?

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Price ChartContract price history

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.4 on Oct 28, 2026?

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 28, 2026?

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.4 on Oct 28, 2026?

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.5 on Oct 28, 2026?

Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 38.7 on Oct 28, 2026?

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.6 on Oct 28, 2026?

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.3 on Oct 28, 2026?

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