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Events
GroupKALSHI

Will any U.S. state change its name?

Will any U.S. state change its name?
Vol

K 201.03 contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

4

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Before Jan 1, 2030 at 5.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Before Jan 1, 20305.5%
  2. Before Jan 1, 20295%
  3. Before Jan 1, 20284.5%
  4. Before Jan 1, 20273.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 201.03 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

4

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Before Jan 1, 2030 If a U.S. state formally changes its official name after Issuance and before Jan 1, X then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications, from before Issuance, do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources, e.g., wire services, only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. X state formally changes its official name when the change is finally adopted under that state's own law, such as voter approval of a constitutional amendment or enactment of a law, even if it takes effect later. Adding or removing words in the official name, for example, dropping "and Providence Plantations", counts. X newly admitted state counts only if it changes its name after full admission; the name it takes at admission does not. The following do NOT count: X proposal, resolution or amendment that still needs a further vote or signature. X rename made only by the President, the federal government or a private company, for example, an executive order, federal usage or map labels. X governor's order or agency policy that changes only the name used on documents. X nickname, motto, seal or flag. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Will ICE change its name in 2026?

Will ICE change its name in 2026?

K 26.4K contracts
Will ICE announce a change to its official name before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which bills will become law in 2026?

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Will legislation principally aimed at establishing a federal framework for college sports, including through NIL preemption, antitrust treatment of association rules, athlete-compensation standards, student-athlete protections, or employment-status rules become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 34%
Will legislation that requires location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 32%
Will legislation that conditions eligibility for Department of Defense contracts on covered contractors refraining from stock buybacks become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 23%
+27 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Will Todd Blanche lose his New York law license?

Will Todd Blanche lose his New York law license?

PM $22.8K · K 4.1K contracts

Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?

Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Todd Blanche loses authorization to practice law in New York State through disbarment, an effective suspension, or a court-accepted resignation from the New York bar that removes his name from the roll of attorneys before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.6%Rules differK Yes 4.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
AfD in a German state government?

AfD in a German state government?

PM $56.3K · K 4.6K contracts

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Alternative fuer Deutschland has entered a German state government before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 45%Rules differK Yes 45%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?

Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?

K 176.9K contracts
Will Maine be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 36.5%
Will Florida be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 36.5%
Will Ohio be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 7.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

PM $98.58M · K 5.75M contracts

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 77%Rules differK Yes 82.5%

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 18%Rules differK Yes 17.5%

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will María Corina Machado be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.5%Rules differK Yes 4.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

14 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

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