
Will any U.S. state change its name?
K 201.03 contracts
1
4
Will any U.S. state change its name?

K 201.03 contracts
1
4
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Before Jan 1, 2030 at 5.5%.
Kalshi
- Before Jan 1, 20305.5%
- Before Jan 1, 20295%
- Before Jan 1, 20284.5%
- Before Jan 1, 20273.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 201.03 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
4
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
Before Jan 1, 2030 If a U.S. state formally changes its official name after Issuance and before Jan 1, X then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications, from before Issuance, do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources, e.g., wire services, only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. X state formally changes its official name when the change is finally adopted under that state's own law, such as voter approval of a constitutional amendment or enactment of a law, even if it takes effect later. Adding or removing words in the official name, for example, dropping "and Providence Plantations", counts. X newly admitted state counts only if it changes its name after full admission; the name it takes at admission does not. The following do NOT count: X proposal, resolution or amendment that still needs a further vote or signature. X rename made only by the President, the federal government or a private company, for example, an executive order, federal usage or map labels. X governor's order or agency policy that changes only the name used on documents. X nickname, motto, seal or flag. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

Will ICE change its name in 2026?
K 26.4K contracts
Which bills will become law in 2026?
K 639.2K contracts
Will Todd Blanche lose his New York law license?
PM $22.8K · K 4.1K contractsTodd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Todd Blanche loses authorization to practice law in New York State through disbarment, an effective suspension, or a court-accepted resignation from the New York bar that removes his name from the roll of attorneys before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.

AfD in a German state government?
PM $56.3K · K 4.6K contractsWill the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Alternative fuer Deutschland has entered a German state government before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.

Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
K 176.9K contracts
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
PM $98.58M · K 5.75M contractsWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Kalshi: Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Related contracts
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Kalshi: Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Related contracts
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Kalshi: Will María Corina Machado be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Related contracts
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
