#2 US Netflix Show this week?
K 6.8K contracts
1
10
#2 US Netflix Show this week?
K 6.8K contracts
1
10
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1 at 3%.
Kalshi
- Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 13%
- Nobody Wants This: Season 32.5%
- From: Season 12.5%
- The Fall of El Mayo: Limited Series0.5%
- The One About Matthew Perry: Season 10.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 6.8K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
10
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
The chart published on Nov 17, 2026 If X is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 US Show on the chart published on Nov 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Nov 17, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix. Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-12T15:00:05.990Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved event is "#2 US Netflix Show this week?" on Kalshi. The rule text states: "If X is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 US Show on the chart published on Nov 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. Each listed market names a different show and asks whether it will be #2 on "Nov 16, 2026" [1]. The rule text and the market titles therefore cite different dates, Nov 17 and Nov 16, and a reader should check the official wording before relying on either.
The rule also says the Netflix charts update on Tuesday and that "the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before" [1]. The saved market data lists an end date of 2026-11-23T15:00:00.000Z for each contract, but the source excerpt says "Listed end time: not supplied." This evidence does not resolve that conflict, so the close time should be verified on the provider's page.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-11-12T15:00:05.990Z, and the record was retrieved at 15:07:29 UTC the same day. These are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The Yes prices were:
- Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1: 0.03
- Nobody Wants This: Season 3: 0.025
- From: Season 1: 0.025
- Seven other shows: 0.005 each
The sample covers all 10 saved markets for this event, and the record reports no partial sample. The provider notes that this does not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed [1]. Since all saved markets are included, the omitted shows are not a sampling gap in this record. Because the listed Yes prices sum to 0.115, the remaining probability is not assigned to any listed market in this snapshot, and no single price should be read as a forecast.
Only one platform appears in this record, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. Volume and trader counts are not included, so this snapshot says nothing about liquidity or how many people hold each view.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices are where they are, and it contains no current Netflix chart data or news. The date mismatch between the rule text and the market titles, and the unresolved close time, could change how a contract settles. Anyone comparing these prices with other sources should confirm the exact contract wording and close time first.
References
- Kalshi: #2 US Netflix Show this week?. Provider data observed 2026-11-12T15:00:05.990Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 12, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event that asks which show will rank second on Netflix's Top 10 US Show chart. The event is built around a single chart: the market resolves to Yes if the named title is in the number two position on the Netflix Top 10 US Show chart published on November 10, 2026 [1]. The contract is therefore tied to one published ranking rather than to ongoing viewing activity. The rules say the Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday and that the market closes at 11:59 PM ET on the day before the chart's publication. The chart published on November 10, 2026 covers the week ending the previous Sunday [1]. Some market titles in the saved event instead refer to a rank "on Nov 9, 2026," while the rule text refers to the chart published on November 10, 2026 [1]. Readers should treat the rule text as the controlling description of what the contract measures, and should check the platform's current rules before relying on any date. The event includes a notice that Netflix has not endorsed the market and that references to Netflix are descriptive only [1]. The provider record shows the event as active, but it does not supply a listed end time in the excerpt used here [1]. Each market in the event asks about a different title. Within the saved sample, Nobody Wants This: Season 3 has the highest Yes price, while The One About Matthew Perry: Season 1 has the next highest, and most other titles carry Yes prices at the minimum tick level shown [1]. These figures are snapshot prices from the platform listing. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of any title ranking second.
Historical Context
Netflix, Inc. was founded on August 29, 1997, by Reed Hastings and Marc Randolph in Scotts Valley, California, and is currently based in Los Gatos, California [2]. The company now operates a subscription video on-demand service, and the source notes that it is the first streaming media company to be a member of the Motion Picture Association [2]. The supplied sources do not describe the history of the Top 10 chart itself, so this section does not cover how the ranking methodology has changed over time.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow outcome: whether a specific title holds the number two spot on one published Netflix Top 10 US Show chart [1]. Because it turns on a single publication date and a single rank, it differs from questions about total viewership or popularity over a longer period. The rules state that the chart published on November 10, 2026 covers the week ending the previous Sunday, so the contract reflects that reporting window rather than the calendar day the market title names [1]. The event lists many separate markets, one for each title. The saved sample includes 12 of 13 markets for this provider event, so it is a partial sample [1]. Each market is a separate contract on its own title, and the prices shown should not be read as a ranking across the full set of possible titles.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-09 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What must happen for a market in this event to resolve to Yes?
The named title must be the number two show on the Netflix Top 10 US Show chart published on November 10, 2026 [1].
When does the market close?
According to the rules, the market closes at 11:59 PM ET on the day before the chart is published, because the Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday [1]. The saved market records show an end date of November 16, 2026 at 15:00 UTC, but that field is a provider record and is not described in the rules as an announced event date [1].
Why do the market titles say Nov 9 while the rules say Nov 10?
The market titles refer to November 9, 2026, but the rule text refers to the chart published on November 10, 2026 [1]. The rule text describes the publication that determines resolution, so readers should check that wording before interpreting any market title.
Does the Yes price represent the chance that a title will rank second?
No. The prices are snapshots from the platform listing and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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