What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (November 17)
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11
What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (November 17)
PM $7.0K
1
11
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1 at 95.8%.
Polymarket
- Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 195.8%
- The Body: Season 13%
- The One About Matthew Perry: Season 10.5%
- Nobody Wants This: Season 30.5%
- From: Season 10.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
11
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Snapshot observed 2026-11-12T15:00:05.990Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The event asks which show will be ranked first in the United States on Netflix's Top 10 TV list. According to the saved rules, the market "will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show" [1]. The rules say Netflix is "expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week" [1]. The ranking is "based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows" [1].
Two rule details matter for comparison. First, ties resolve "according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically" [1]. Second, if the update "does not occur by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other"" [1]. The listed end time for each market is 2026-11-18T04:59:00.000Z [1]. That timestamp is a contract closing time, not the date of the Netflix update, and the rules name November 17 for the expected update.
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation time is 2026-11-12T15:00:05.990Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-12T16:35:40.024Z [1]. These prices describe that moment only and are not live quotes.
The sample includes all 11 saved markets for this event, and it is not partial [1]. Each market is a separate Yes/No contract. The Yes price for "Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1" was 0.9575, and "The Body: Season 1" was 0.03. The other nine markets each showed a Yes price of 0.005 [1]. Those nine prices were the lowest in the sample, but the saved data does not show why they were priced that way.
The Yes prices across these 11 contracts add up to about 1.03 at the observation time. That total reflects the snapshot and should not be read as a verified probability distribution or as an arbitrage signal. The "Other" outcome described in the rules does not appear as a listed market in the saved sample, so no price for it is available.
What remains uncertain
The saved evidence does not show the outcome of the November 17 update, whether Netflix will publish it on schedule, or how any title ranks in the actual data. Volume is not included in the excerpt, and the evidence does not describe trader counts or liquidity. The sampleWarning states that the included markets do not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. Prices may also change after the observation time shown above.
References
- Polymarket: What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (November 17). Provider data observed 2026-11-12T15:00:05.990Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 12, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract asks which show will rank as the number one US Netflix show in the Top 10 TV list update that Netflix is expected to publish on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, November 17, 2026, at 3:00 PM ET. The update is expected to reflect viewership from the previous week, Monday to Sunday [1]. The market resolves based on which show that update ranks first in the United States, using total views as reported by Netflix for TV shows [1]. The contract includes two resolution rules. If several shows tie for first place, the market resolves to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically [1]. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by November 20, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The listed end time for the event is 2026-11-18T04:59:00Z, which is an end time in the contract data and not a confirmation that any update has been published [1]. The saved event includes eleven individual show markets, all of which are included in the sample [1]. Each market is a Yes or No question about whether a particular title will be the top US Netflix show. In the saved snapshot observed on November 12, 2026, at 15:00 UTC, the Yes price for "Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1" was 0.9575, while the Yes price for "The Body: Season 1" was 0.03 and several other titles were at 0.005 [1]. These are observed prices in a single snapshot. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of any outcome.
Historical Context
Netflix, Inc. was founded on August 29, 1997, by Reed Hastings and Marc Randolph in Scotts Valley, California. The company is currently based in Los Gatos, California, and it has production offices and stages at Los Angeles-based Hollywood studios and the Albuquerque Studios [3]. The company is described as the first streaming media company to be a member of the Motion Picture Association [3]. These background sources do not describe the history of the weekly Top 10 list itself, so this article does not describe that history.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single weekly ranking outcome: which title Netflix places first in its United States TV Top 10 update for the week of November 9 to November 15, 2026, if the update is published in the stated window [1]. Because the ranking is based on reported US views for TV shows, the contract tracks one specific published measure rather than general popularity [1]. The tie-break and the "Other" fallback determine how the market settles in edge cases [1]. Traders reading the saved prices should keep in mind that a price reflects a single observed snapshot of a market and that trading volume does not measure liquidity or the number of participants [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-12 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the contract ultimately depend on?
The market resolves based on which show the expected top10.netflix.com update ranks as the number one US Netflix show, using total views in the United States as reported by Netflix for TV shows [1].
How is a tie for first place handled?
If multiple shows tie for number one, the market resolves according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically [1].
What happens if the Top 10 update does not appear in time?
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by November 20, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1].
Does a price on this contract show the chance that a show will win?
The saved prices are snapshots from the provider. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, so they should not be read as confirmed chances of any outcome [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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