What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (November 17)
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What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (November 17)
PM $520.94
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10
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Black Doves: Season 2 at 47%.
Polymarket
- Black Doves: Season 247%
- Power: Season 146.5%
- The Body: Season 145.5%
- Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 119%
- Raw: 2026 - November 9, 20262.9%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
10
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Snapshot observed 2026-11-12T15:00:05.990Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This event asks which show will rank second on Netflix's US Top 10 TV list. The source says Netflix is expected to update the list on Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week, Monday to Sunday [1]. Rankings are based on total US views, and ties are broken by alphabetical order of listed titles [1]. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. Each of the ten contracts in this sample asks whether one named show will be the #2 show [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-11-12T15:00:05.990Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-12T16:36:04.078Z [1]. These are recorded observations, not live quotes or executable prices. The highest Yes prices are 0.47 for "Black Doves: Season 2," 0.465 for "Power: Season 1," and 0.455 for "The Body: Season 1" [1]. "Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1" is at 0.19, and the remaining six contracts are priced at 0.0295 or lower [1]. Each contract's Yes and No prices sum to 1.00 in the snapshot [1]. The saved data does not report trading volume as liquidity or trader count, so it cannot show depth or how many participants hold a view.
All listed contracts show an end time of 2026-11-18T04:59:00.000Z [1]. This corresponds to 11:59 PM ET on November 17, which differs from the expected Netflix update time and from the November 20 fallback deadline in the rules [1]. Readers should rely on the full rule text, not the listed end time alone, when interpreting resolution.
The sample includes all ten saved markets for this event, and it is not marked as partial [1]. The source also warns that this does not establish that providers list every possible outcome [1].
What remains uncertain
The saved evidence does not explain why any price is where it is, whether prices have changed since the observation, or what the Netflix list will show. Only one source is saved, and it describes the rules without reporting an outcome. No other platform's contract is included, so these prices should not be compared with contracts that have different wording, close times, or outcomes. A price difference between contracts is not, by itself, an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Polymarket: What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (November 17). Provider data observed 2026-11-12T15:00:05.990Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 12, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event asking which show will be the number two US Netflix show in Netflix's Top 10 update scheduled for Tuesday, November 17, 2026. The provider's rules say Netflix is expected to publish the update on top10.netflix.com at 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous Monday through Sunday [1]. Each market in the event asks whether one named title will hold that second position. The event lists ten titles, including Black Doves: Season 2, Power: Season 1, The Body: Season 1, and Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1 [1]. The rules define the ranking by chart position in the update, based on total views in the United States as reported by Netflix for TV shows [1]. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, the provider breaks the tie by alphabetical order of the listed titles [1]. The market resolves to whichever show finishes in the second-highest position after that ranking is applied [1]. The rules also state that if the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other [1]. The provider lists a November 18, 2026 04:59 UTC end time for these markets [1]. That end time appears in the contract rules and is not a confirmed publication date for the Netflix update. The prices shown in the sample are snapshots taken at the provider observation time, not live or executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The sample includes all ten saved markets for this event, so no outcome in the sample is omitted, though the provider notes that this does not establish that every possible title is listed [1]. Trading volume and price differences between titles should not be read as liquidity or as a count of participants.
Historical Context
According to the Wikipedia entry, Netflix was founded on August 29, 1997, in Scotts Valley, California, and is currently based in Los Gatos, California [2]. The entry describes the service as showcasing both acquired and original programming, along with licensed third-party content [2]. It also states that Netflix is the first streaming media company to be a member of the Motion Picture Association [2]. This history explains the company background only. It does not establish any current ranking or viewing figure for the titles in the November 2026 market.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single position in one weekly chart. Its resolution depends on the Netflix Top 10 ranking for TV shows in the United States, based on total views reported by Netflix for the prior Monday through Sunday period [1]. Traders can therefore read the market as a question about relative weekly viewing position, as defined by the provider's rules, rather than about a show's overall popularity or any other measure [1]. Because the contract resolves to Other when no qualifying update appears by the stated deadline, the publication timing is also part of what the market measures [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-12 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Which Netflix chart determines the outcome of this market?
The market resolves based on the show that holds the second-highest finishing position in the Top 10 update at top10.netflix.com, scheduled for November 17, 2026 [1]. The ranking uses chart position, with ties broken alphabetically by listed title [1].
What viewing period does the ranking cover?
The update reflects viewership from the previous week, Monday to Sunday, and the ranking is based on total views in the United States as reported by Netflix for TV shows [1].
What happens if Netflix does not publish the update in time?
The provider's rules state that if the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other [1].
Do the prices show the likelihood of each title ranking second?
The prices are snapshots from the provider's observation time, not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1]. They should be read only as recorded market prices at that time.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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