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Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

SSI public model released by…?

SSI public model released by…?
Vol

PM $138.3K

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Events

1

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Markets

3

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is December 31 at 40.5%.

Polymarket

  1. December 3140.5%
  2. November 3021.5%
  3. October 314%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $138.3K

Reported volume · provider units

3

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) releases a model, and that model is made available to the general public between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be an AI model released by SSI or associated with SSI and confirmed as such by SSI or by a consensus of credible reporting. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SSI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SSI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketTech
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

PM $1.08M
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 94.3%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?Yes 32.5%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 32.1%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

PM $379.2K
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?Yes 67%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?Yes 16%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?Yes 5.1%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

PM $133.9K
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Yes 98%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 28, 2026?Yes 1.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 27, 2026?Yes 0.9%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

PM $59.2K
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 27, 2026?Yes 3.6%
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 29, 2026?Yes 3.6%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?

Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?

K 29.4K contracts
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?Yes 64%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

PM $450.7K
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 87%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?Yes 82.5%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 55.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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