Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026

Total Volume

$128.36K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026

Vol

$128.36K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $128.36K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $128.36K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 545,000 jobs?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 545,000 jobs?	Kalshi	97%
Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 550,000 jobs?	Kalshi	91%
Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 555,000 jobs?	Kalshi	47%
Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 560,000 jobs?	Kalshi	14%
Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 565,000 jobs?	Kalshi	6%
Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 570,000 jobs?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$128.36K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026 If BLS reports Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above X jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will use the Pennsylvania Manufacturing figure in BLS’s official Annual Average Table 1: Employees on nonfarm payrolls in states and selected areas by major industry. Employment is measured in thousands of jobs. The officially published annual-average value will be used rather than independently averaging monthly estimates. This market will close and e

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If BLS reports Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above X jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will use the Pennsylvania Manufacturing figure in BLS’s official Annual Average Table 1: Employees on nonfarm payrolls in states and selected areas by major industry. Employment is measured in thousands of jobs. The officially published annual-average value will be used rather than independently averaging monthly estimates. This market will close and e

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If BLS reports Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 570,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will use the Pennsylvania Manufacturing figure in BLS’s official Annual Average Table 1: Employees on nonfarm payrolls in states and sele"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $128.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 570,000 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 545,000 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $24.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 565,000 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $14.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 560,000 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $20.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 555,000 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $41.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 550,000 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $25.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 90.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026

Volume$128.36K

Markets6

6 of 6

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 545,000 jobs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 545,000 jobs?

If BLS reports Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 545,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will use the Pennsylvania Manufacturing figure in BLS’s official Annual Average Table 1: Employees on nonfarm payrolls in states and sele

KALSHI

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 550,000 jobs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.5¢No 9.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 550,000 jobs?

If BLS reports Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 550,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will use the Pennsylvania Manufacturing figure in BLS’s official Annual Average Table 1: Employees on nonfarm payrolls in states and sele

KALSHI

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 555,000 jobs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 46.5¢No 53.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 555,000 jobs?

If BLS reports Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 555,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will use the Pennsylvania Manufacturing figure in BLS’s official Annual Average Table 1: Employees on nonfarm payrolls in states and sele

KALSHI

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 560,000 jobs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 13.5¢No 86.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 560,000 jobs?

If BLS reports Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 560,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will use the Pennsylvania Manufacturing figure in BLS’s official Annual Average Table 1: Employees on nonfarm payrolls in states and sele

KALSHI

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 565,000 jobs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 565,000 jobs?

If BLS reports Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 565,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will use the Pennsylvania Manufacturing figure in BLS’s official Annual Average Table 1: Employees on nonfarm payrolls in states and sele

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

43¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/sVFzb2" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026

Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 545,000 jobs?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026

Markets (6)

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 545,000 jobs?

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 545,000 jobs?

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 550,000 jobs?

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 550,000 jobs?

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 555,000 jobs?

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 555,000 jobs?

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 560,000 jobs?

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 560,000 jobs?

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 565,000 jobs?

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 565,000 jobs?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 545,000 jobs?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 545,000 jobs?

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 545,000 jobs?

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 550,000 jobs?

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 550,000 jobs?

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 555,000 jobs?

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 555,000 jobs?

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 560,000 jobs?

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 560,000 jobs?

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 565,000 jobs?

Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 565,000 jobs?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget