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GroupKALSHI

Will Democrats sweep the New England House and Senate races?

Will Democrats sweep the New England House and Senate races?
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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

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Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

On Nov 3, 2026 If Democrats win ALL of the 2026 U.S. House elections in Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, AND Vermont, AND ALL of the 2026 U.S. Senate elections in Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, AND Rhode Island, then the market resolves to Yes. This market requires ALL specified candidates/parties/options to win their respective elections for a Yes resolution. If even one loses, the entire market resolves to No. A Democratic candidate is a candidate listed with the Democratic Party label on the general election ballot, including a candidate who is also listed with another party's label. Any other winner, including an independent, is a candidate other than a Democrat. In Maine, the winner of each federal race is the candidate declared elected after any ranked-choice tabulation. Postponed elections remain open until rescheduled or two years from original date. Annulled elections remain open until re-run. In case of ties, the winner through the jurisdiction's tiebreak mechanism prevails. This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. The full rules provide further details. This market will close and expire early if all elections have been certified.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Iowa Senate and Governor Combo

Iowa Senate and Governor Combo

PM $168.7K · K 2.59M contracts

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Democrats hold 215 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 48 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

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PM Yes 49.5%Rules differK Yes 91.5%

Blue wave in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Democrats hold 215 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 48 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

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PM Yes 83.5%Rules differK Yes 91.5%

Blue wave in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the number of Iowa races won by the Democratic Party among IA-01, IA-02, IA-03, the U.S. Senate seat, and the Governorship during the November 3, 2026 general election be exactly 5?

Related contracts

PM Yes 83.5%Rules differK Yes 32.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Alaska House, Governor & Senate combo

Alaska House, Governor & Senate combo

PM $63.3K · K 127.7K contracts

Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?

Kalshi: Alaska combo: Democratic sweep?

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PM Yes 71.5%Rules differK Yes 2.5%

Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?

Kalshi: Will Alaska Governor winner be Democratic party and Alaska Senate winner be Democratic party?

Related contracts

PM Yes 71.5%Rules differK Yes 67%

Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?

Kalshi: Will Alaska Governor winner be Republican party and Alaska Senate winner be Republican party?

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PM Yes 14%Rules differK Yes 16.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Where will Democrats win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?

Where will Democrats win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?

K 211.38 contracts
Will the number of Washington State Senate seats held by Democrats be at least 33 after the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 50%
Will the number of Washington House of Representatives seats held by Democrats be at least 66 after the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 50%
Will the number of Vermont Senate seats held by Democrats be at least 20 after the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 50%
+21 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Hampshire Senate and Governor Combo

New Hampshire Senate and Governor Combo

PM $10.4K
Will Republicans win the New Hampshire Governor election and Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate election?Yes 83.5%
Will Republicans sweep the New Hampshire Senate and Governor elections?Yes 11%
Will Democrats sweep the New Hampshire Senate and Governor elections?Yes 3.8%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?

Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?

PM $29.4K · K 414.0K contracts

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

Kalshi: Will Democrats win the 2026 senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine?

Related contracts

PM Yes 55.5%Rules differK Yes 52.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Mexico Senate margin of victory

New Mexico Senate margin of victory

K 4.9K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 95.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 92.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 87.8%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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