New Hampshire Senate and Governor Combo
PM $10.7K
1
4
New Hampshire Senate and Governor Combo
PM $10.7K
1
4
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate at 84.5%.
Polymarket
- Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate84.5%
- Reps sweep10.5%
- Dems sweep3%
- Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate3%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $10.7K
Reported volume · provider units
4
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T21:00:05.939Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Polymarket event "New Hampshire Senate and Governor Combo" covers the November 3, 2026 general elections for New Hampshire governor and U.S. Senate [1]. Each contract asks about a specific party pairing. The source states that "a "sweep" is when a party wins both races" [1]. A candidate counts as a party member by ballot-listed affiliation or by being that party's nominee, and independents are not counted as Democrats or Republicans [1].
The rules also set a fallback. The market resolves to "Other" if the results are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins either election [1]. The resolution source is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC, and the market resolves once all three have conclusively called the relevant races. If they do not reach consensus, it resolves on official certification [1]. The listed end time for all four contracts is 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z [1]. That is the listed close time, not the date the races are decided.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-15T21:00:05.939Z, and the evidence was retrieved at 2026-10-15T23:49:58.137Z [1]. These are snapshot Yes and No prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The sample includes all four saved markets for this event, and the sample is not partial [1].
The four Yes prices are:
- Republican governor and Democratic Senate: 0.86 [1]
- Republican sweep: 0.11 [1]
- Democratic governor and Republican Senate: 0.028 [1]
- Democratic sweep: 0.027 [1]
Taken together, these Yes prices sum to 1.025 at this snapshot. That gap is an observation about this saved data, not a finding that one contract is mispriced or that an arbitrage exists. The "Other" outcome does not appear as a separate contract in this sample, so its price cannot be read from this evidence.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices were at these levels, and it does not describe any events after the snapshot. Volume and trader counts are not in the evidence, so the prices cannot be read as a measure of liquidity or agreement. Because this is a single provider event, these figures should not be compared with prices from other platforms or other contracts without checking that the wording and close times match.
References
- Polymarket: New Hampshire Senate and Governor Combo. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T21:00:05.939Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia contract is tied to the New Hampshire elections for governor and United States Senate. According to the market rules, it resolves according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire, which the rules say are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026 [1]. The date appears in the contract rules as a scheduled election date. It is not an announced result or a confirmed event beyond the rules themselves. The contract is one of a group of combination markets. Each market asks whether one party will win the governor race and the other party will win the Senate race, or whether a single party will win both. The saved event includes four markets: a Republican governor and Democratic Senate combination, a Republican sweep, a Democratic governor and Republican Senate combination, and a Democratic sweep [1]. The app's snapshot records the displayed prices for each market, so readers should refer to that snapshot rather than treat any price here as current. The rules define a sweep as a situation in which one party wins both races [1]. They also specify how candidates are classified. A candidate counts as representing a party according to ballot-listed affiliation, or if the candidate is that party's nominee. Candidates who run as independents are not counted under the Democratic or Republican options, even if they have some affiliation with a party [1]. Resolution depends on named sources. The rules name the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC as resolution sources. The market resolves once all three have conclusively called the relevant Senate and governor races. If the three sources do not reach consensus, the market resolves based on the official certification of the results [1]. The rules also include a fallback to Other. If the results are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins either race, the market resolves to Other [1]. The listed end time in the provider data is 2026-11-04T04:59:00Z [1]. That timestamp is the listed end time for the market, which is separate from the date when the elections are scheduled or when the market resolves.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a specific combination of partisan outcomes in two New Hampshire races: the governor election and the U.S. Senate election. Because it asks about pairs of outcomes, it is about how the two races turn out together, not just about one race alone [1]. The rules also limit what counts as a party outcome. Independent and third-party winners are handled by the Other resolution, and the requirement that news sources conclusively call the races, or that certification decide the outcome, sets the standard for when the contract resolves [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as a sweep in this contract?
The rules define a sweep as a situation in which one party wins both the New Hampshire Senate and governor races [1].
How is a candidate's party determined?
A candidate is treated as representing a party by ballot-listed affiliation or if the candidate is the nominee of that party. Independent candidates are not counted under the Democrat or Republican options, regardless of any affiliation they may have [1].
What happens if an independent or third-party candidate wins?
If an independent or third-party candidate wins either of the elections, the market resolves to Other [1].
When does the market resolve to Other if results are unclear?
If the results are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, the market resolves to Other [1].
Which sources decide the outcome?
The named resolution sources are the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. The market resolves once all three have conclusively called the relevant races. If they do not reach consensus, it resolves based on official certification [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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