GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Name: How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$13.84K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Vol

$13.84K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $13.84K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $13.84K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Poly	36%
Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Poly	35%
Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Poly	32%
Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Poly	21%
Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Poly	21%
Will over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Poly	17%
Will over 66 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Poly	7%
Will over 68 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

36%

Top Probability

$13.84K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of Senators voting "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027 is above the number specified in this market's title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Above" means strictly greater than the number specified in the title. For example, a market titled "Above 58" will resolve to "Yes" only if 59 or more Senators vote "Yea". For purposes of this market, "crypto ma

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (118 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of Senators voting "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027 is above the number specified in this market's title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Above" means strictly greater than the number specified in the title. For example, a market titled "Above 58" will resolve to "Yes" only if 59 or more Senators vote "Yea".

For purposes of this market, "crypto ma

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of Senators voting "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027 is above the number specified in this market's title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Above" means"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $13.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $25.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.54)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $6.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $186
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $39
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will over 66 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will over 68 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $109
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCrypto