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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Israeli Legislative Election: Turnout (Directional)

Israeli Legislative Election: Turnout (Directional)
Vol

PM $11.9K

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Events

1

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Markets

5

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 75%+ at 97%.

Polymarket

  1. 75%+97%
  2. 77%+96.9%
  3. 76%+95.4%
  4. 78%+11%
  5. 79%+2.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $11.9K

Reported volume · provider units

5

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Israeli legislative election to the Knesset is at least the specified value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The voter turnout rate is defined as the total number of votes cast (סה"כ קולות שהוזנו) divided by the total number of eligible voters (סה"כ בעלי זכות בחירה). (see 2022 example: https://votes25.bechirot.gov.il/) If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the Israeli government, including the Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election?

Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election?

K 46.3K contracts
Will Yair Golan be Minister of the Interior as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 50%
Will Yoav Ben-Tzur be Minister of the Interior as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 50%
Will Oded Forer be Minister of the Interior as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 50%
+26 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?

Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?

K 83.8K contracts
Will Yair Golan be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 49.5%
Will Matan Kahana be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 49%
Will Ofer Winter be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 47.5%
+21 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which lists will win a Knesset seat?

Which lists will win a Knesset seat?

K 69.8K contracts
Will RZP-Zehut win at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 99.5%
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 99.5%
Will Yashar win at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 99.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

K 7.96M contracts
Will No one become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 54.5%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 25.5%
Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 16.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be Israeli finance minister after the election?

Who will be Israeli finance minister after the election?

K 82.0K contracts
Will Avigdor Lieberman be Minister of Finance as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 50%
Will Keren Terner Eyal be Minister of Finance as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 49%
Will Shaul Meridor be Minister of Finance as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 47.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election?

Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election?

K 74.4K contracts
Will Israel Katz be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 40.5%
Will Eli Cohen be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 40%
Will Ron Dermer be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 39.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

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