Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This market belongs to a Polymarket event asking whether Linera's fully diluted valuation (FDV) will be above a stated threshold one day after launch. According to the rules, the market resolves "Yes" if "the Fully Diluted Valuation of Linera's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch" [1]. The FDV is calculated as "the total token supply multiplied by the token price" [1].

The rules set several conditions. Only "an official token launched by Linera after the creation of this market" qualifies, and "the token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch" [1]. The "1 day after launch" point is "4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch" [1]. If no token launches by "December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET," the market resolves "No" [1]. The listed end time is 2028-01-01T04:59:00.000Z [1]. That is a closing time in the contract data, not an announced launch date.

Reading the snapshot

The saved data includes nine threshold contracts from one event, all on Polymarket. The sample covers every saved market for this event, with no partial sample. Each threshold has its own Yes and No prices. The quoted Yes prices run from 0.13 for the $100M contract to 0.0525 for the $1B contract, with the $700M contract quoted at 0.063, above the $600M contract at 0.0435 and the $500M contract at 0.055 [1]. These prices are snapshots from a single observation, so they should not be read as a monotonic curve across thresholds.

Each price is a snapshot, not an executable quote or a verified probability. The data does not include volume, depth, or the number of traders, so it cannot show how liquid any contract is. Because all nine contracts come from one event, comparing them is useful for reading how the rules and thresholds map to prices, but it does not support combining them with other platforms.

What remains uncertain

The snapshot was observed at 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z and retrieved at 2026-10-15T17:35:17.822Z [1]. Prices may have changed since then. The provider status is listed as "active" [1], but the data does not confirm whether Linera has announced a launch or what the token's current status is. The sample also does not establish that these nine thresholds are every possible outcome. The source gives no explanation for why prices are placed as they are.

References

1. Polymarket: Linera FDV above ___ one day after launch?. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.