GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner

Name: Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner
End: 2026-08-18T16:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$142.00K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner

Vol

$142.00K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $142.00K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $142.00K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Poly	47%
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Poly	41%
Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Poly	0%
Will Michael Foust win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Poly	0%
Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

47%

Top Probability

$142.00K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027,

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Aug 18, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027,

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of T"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $142.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $28.6K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.97)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 18, 2026): Vol $91.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Michael Foust win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 18, 2026): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 18, 2026): Vol $12.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 18, 2026): Vol $11.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 18, 2026): Vol $22.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics