GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Philippine presidential election winner?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Philippine presidential election winner?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Sara Duterte)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Sara Duterte)	Kalshi	61%
Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Leni Robredo)	Kalshi	12%
Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Win Gatchalian)	Kalshi	6%
Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Grace Poe)	Kalshi	4%
Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Francis Pangilinan)	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

61%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In 2028 If the winner of the next Philippine presidential election is X then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Philippine presidential election winner?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2028

If the winner of the next Philippine presidential election is X then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the winner of the next Philippine presidential election is Grace Poe, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and e"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Grace Poe)
- **Kalshi** (End: May 31, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Win Gatchalian)
- **Kalshi** (End: May 31, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Sara Duterte)
- **Kalshi** (End: May 31, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 61.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Leni Robredo)
- **Kalshi** (End: May 31, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.1% (0.0%)]

### 5. Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Francis Pangilinan)
- **Kalshi** (End: May 31, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Philippine presidential election winner?

Volume$0.00

Markets5

5 of 5

Sort:

KALSHI

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Sara Duterte)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 61.0¢No 39.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Sara Duterte)

If the winner of the next Philippine presidential election is Sara Duterte, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close an

KALSHI

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Leni Robredo)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.9¢No 88.1¢

KALSHIPolitics

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Leni Robredo)

If the winner of the next Philippine presidential election is Leni Robredo, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close an

KALSHI

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Win Gatchalian)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Win Gatchalian)

If the winner of the next Philippine presidential election is Win Gatchalian, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close

KALSHI

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Grace Poe)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Grace Poe)

If the winner of the next Philippine presidential election is Grace Poe, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and e

KALSHI

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Francis Pangilinan)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Francis Pangilinan)

If the winner of the next Philippine presidential election is Francis Pangilinan, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will cl

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

17¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/CM3Wg4" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Philippine presidential election winner?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Philippine presidential election winner?

Philippine presidential election winner?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Sara Duterte)

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Philippine presidential election winner?

Markets (5)

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Sara Duterte)

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Sara Duterte)

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Leni Robredo)

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Leni Robredo)

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Win Gatchalian)

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Win Gatchalian)

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Grace Poe)

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Grace Poe)

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Francis Pangilinan)

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Francis Pangilinan)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Sara Duterte)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Philippine presidential election winner?

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Sara Duterte)

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Sara Duterte)

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Leni Robredo)

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Leni Robredo)

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Win Gatchalian)

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Win Gatchalian)

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Grace Poe)

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Grace Poe)

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Francis Pangilinan)

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Francis Pangilinan)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget