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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Next Brazilian Minister of Finance?

Next Brazilian Minister of Finance?
Vol

PM $910.01

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Events

1

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Markets

10

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Dario Durigan at 35%.

Polymarket

  1. Dario Durigan35%
  2. Rafael Fonteles34.5%
  3. Fernando Haddad28%
  4. Geraldo Alckmin27.5%
  5. Rogério Ceron26.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $910.01

Reported volume · provider units

10

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Brazilian Minister of Finance (Ministro da Fazenda) in the government of the President of Brazil whose term begins on January 5, 2027. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed to that government by the President of Brazil. An individual serving as Minister of Finance at the end of the previous term who is reappointed or retained in that position at the start of the new term will count as assuming office in that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Finance will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Finance” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Finance are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Finance assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketWorld
Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

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Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes 53%
Will Shaul Meridor be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?Yes 7.4%
Will Yaron Zelekha be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?Yes 6.2%
+13 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?

Next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?

PM $424.95
Will Fernando Haddad be the next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?Yes 42.5%
Will Wellington César Lima e Silva be the next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?Yes 41%
Will Camilo Santana be the next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?Yes 39.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs?

Next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs?

PM $297.19
Will Mauro Vieira be the next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs?Yes 45%
Will Fernando Haddad be the next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs?Yes 37%
Will Aloizio Mercadante be the next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs?Yes 34.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Next Brazilian Minister of Defense?

Next Brazilian Minister of Defense?

PM $550.78
Will José Múcio be the next Brazilian Minister of Defense?Yes 36.5%
Will Aloizio Mercadante be the next Brazilian Minister of Defense?Yes 20%
Will Celso Amorim be the next Brazilian Minister of Defense?Yes 11%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?

K 2.2K contracts
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 24.5%
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 21.5%
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 15.5%
+26 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2035 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?

Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?

K 140.1K contracts
Will Gadi Eisenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 35.5%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 7.1%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 5.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2045 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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