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Alaska Senator sworn in by January 5?

Alaska Senator sworn in by January 5?
Vol

PM $40.1

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As of Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, Yes is priced at 48% on Polymarket.

Polymarket

  1. Yes48%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $40.1

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual is sworn in into office as a United States Senator representing the seat currently held by Dan Sullivan (Class II) on or before January 5, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A candidate is considered sworn in when the oath of office is administered to them on the floor of the United States Senate, as recorded in the Congressional Record. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Senate, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Michigan Senate Election: Turnout

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Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 5,000,000 and 5,200,000?Yes 33.8%
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+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
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Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 290,000 and 305,000?Yes 50%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 275,000 and 290,000?Yes 28%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be 320,000 or more?Yes 18%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
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+29 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
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Ohio Senate Election: Turnout

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PM $50.5K
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,650,000 and 4,800,000?Yes 25%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,500,000 and 4,650,000?Yes 12.8%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,950,000 and 5,100,000?Yes 10.9%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alaska House District 5 winner? (2028)

Alaska House District 5 winner? (2028)

K 0 contracts
Will the Republican Party win the 2028 Alaska House District 5 election?Yes 50%
Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Alaska House District 5 election?Yes 50%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

PM $170.3K · K 17.1K contracts

Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

Kalshi: Will Republicans win the 2026 Senate elections in Iowa, Kansas, AND Nebraska?

Related contracts

PM Yes 71.5%Rules differK Yes 38.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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