Market snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Sonora Governor Election Winner

Reported volume

PM $44.3K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Sonora Governor Election Winner

Vol

PM $44.3K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Lorenia Valles Sampedro at 67.5%.

Polymarket

Lorenia Valles Sampedro67.5%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas18.2%
Javier Lamarque Cano4.3%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez1.5%
Natalia Rivera Grijalva1%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

19 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(19)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	Poly	67.5%
Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	Poly	18.2%
Will Javier Lamarque Cano win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	Poly	4.3%
Will Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	Poly	1.5%
Will Natalia Rivera Grijalva win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	Poly	1.0%
Will Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	Poly	0.8%
Will Ernesto Gándara Camou win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	Poly	0.7%
Will Lilly Téllez García win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	Poly	0.4%
Will Manuel Scott Sánchez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	Poly	0.4%
Will Froylán Gámez Gamboa win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	Poly	0.3%
Will Omar del Valle Colosio win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	Poly	0.3%
Will Damián Zepeda Vidales win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	Poly	0.3%
Will Rogelio Díaz Brown win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	Poly	0.3%
Will Víctor Hugo Celaya win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	Poly	0.3%
Will Célida Teresa López Cárdenas win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	Poly	0.1%
Will María Dolores del Río Sánchez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	Poly	0.1%
Will Heriberto Aguilar Castillo win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	Poly	0.1%
Will Guadalupe María Soto win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	Poly	0.1%
Will Patricia Mercado Castro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	Poly	0.1%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $44.3K

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Sonora Governor Election Winner
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $44.3K
Coverage: 19 of 19 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3357729; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-lorenia-valles-sampedro-win-the-2027-sonora-governor-election-20260803173857684
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $28.5K
Outcome Yes: 67.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 32.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Javier Lamarque Cano win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3357730; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-javier-lamarque-cano-win-the-2027-sonora-governor-election-20260803173857685
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $4.3K
Outcome Yes: 4.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Célida Teresa López Cárdenas win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3357731; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-celida-teresa-lopez-cardenas-win-the-2027-sonora-governor-election-20260803173857686
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $854.84
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will María Dolores del Río Sánchez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3357732; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-maria-dolores-del-rio-sanchez-win-the-2027-sonora-governor-election-20260803173857687
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $431.29
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Omar del Valle Colosio win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3357733; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-omar-del-valle-colosio-win-the-2027-sonora-governor-election-20260803173857688
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $482.3
Outcome Yes: 0.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Froylán Gámez Gamboa win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3357734; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-froylan-gamez-gamboa-win-the-2027-sonora-governor-election-20260803173857689
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $418.06
Outcome Yes: 0.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Heriberto Aguilar Castillo win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3357735; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-heriberto-aguilar-castillo-win-the-2027-sonora-governor-election-20260803173857690
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $406.79
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3357736; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-antonio-astiazaran-gutierrez-win-the-2027-sonora-governor-election-20260803173857691
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.8K
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Damián Zepeda Vidales win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3357737; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-damian-zepeda-vidales-win-the-2027-sonora-governor-election-20260803173857692
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $407.67
Outcome Yes: 0.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Lilly Téllez García win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3357738; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-lilly-tellez-garcia-win-the-2027-sonora-governor-election-20260803173857693
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $462.79
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Ernesto Gándara Camou win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3357739; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ernesto-gandara-camou-win-the-2027-sonora-governor-election-20260803173857694
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $680.58
Outcome Yes: 0.7%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.4%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3357741; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-sylvana-beltrones-sanchez-win-the-2027-sonora-governor-election-20260803173857695
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $514.11
Outcome Yes: 0.8%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.2%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Rogelio Díaz Brown win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3357742; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-rogelio-diaz-brown-win-the-2027-sonora-governor-election-20260803173857696
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $419.29
Outcome Yes: 0.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Víctor Hugo Celaya win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3357743; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-victor-hugo-celaya-win-the-2027-sonora-governor-election-20260803173857697
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $407.58
Outcome Yes: 0.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Guadalupe María Soto win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3357744; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-guadalupe-maria-soto-win-the-2027-sonora-governor-election-20260803173857698
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $449.51
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Patricia Mercado Castro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3357745; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-patricia-mercado-castro-win-the-2027-sonora-governor-election-20260803173857699
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $550.82
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Natalia Rivera Grijalva win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3357746; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-natalia-rivera-grijalva-win-the-2027-sonora-governor-election-20260803173857700
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $459.6
Outcome Yes: 1.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Manuel Scott Sánchez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3357747; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-manuel-scott-sanchez-win-the-2027-sonora-governor-election-20260803173857701
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $454.33
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3357748; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-luis-donaldo-colosio-riojas-win-the-2027-sonora-governor-election-20260803173857702
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $2.2K
Outcome Yes: 18.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 81.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics

Sonora Governor Election Winner

Volume$44.25K

Markets19

19 of 19

Sort:

Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?

polymarket

Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?

Yes: 67.5¢
No: 32.5¢

Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?

polymarket

Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?

Yes: 18.2¢
No: 81.8¢

Will Javier Lamarque Cano win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?

polymarket

Will Javier Lamarque Cano win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?

Yes: 4.3¢
No: 95.7¢

Will Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?

polymarket

Will Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?

Yes: 1.5¢
No: 98.5¢

Will Natalia Rivera Grijalva win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?

polymarket

Will Natalia Rivera Grijalva win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?

Yes: 1.0¢
No: 99.0¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in California? (Xavier Becerra)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 96.7%Rules differK Yes 96%

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in California? (Steve Hilton)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 3.1%Rules differK Yes 4%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Alaska Governor Election Winner

PM $1.67M · K 883.2K contracts

Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in Alaska? (Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 88.4%Rules differK Yes 87.5%

Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in Alaska? (Bernadette Wilson)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 11.5%Rules differK Yes 12.5%

Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in Alaska? (Treg Taylor)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.9%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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14 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Michoacán Governor Election Winner

PM $62.3K

Will Grecia Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Yes 48.4%

Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Yes 37.2%

Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Yes 5.5%

+19 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC

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Jun 07, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

Same-question pairs

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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Sonora Governor Election Winner

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