GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Campeche Governor Election Winner

Name: Campeche Governor Election Winner
End: 2027-06-06T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$27.12K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Campeche Governor Election Winner

Vol

$27.12K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $27.12K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $27.12K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

26 markets tracked

Will Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(26)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Poly	88%
Will Eliseo Fernández Montúfar win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Poly	6%
Will Biby Rabelo de la Torre win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Poly	1%
Will Daniel Barreda Pavón win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Poly	1%
Will Carlos Ucán Yam win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Armando Toledo Jamit win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Christian Castro Bello win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Pablo Angulo Briceño win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Nelly Márquez Zapata win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Yolanda Valladares Valle win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Liz Hernández Romero win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Andrés Fernández del Valle win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Ricardo Medina Farfán win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Gerardo Sánchez Sansores win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Salvador Farías González win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Rosario Cruz Hernández win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Aníbal Ostoa Ortega win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Martina Kantún Can win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Rocío Abreu Artiñano win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Ariana Rejón Lara win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Paul Arce Ontiveros win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Dulce Dorantes Cervera win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Laura Baqueiro Ramos win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Emilio Lara Calderón win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Francisco Farías Bailón win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

88%

Top Probability

$27.12K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambig

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Campeche Governor Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 6, 2027 (275 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambig

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by De"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $27.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $299.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.09)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $10.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 88.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Carlos Ucán Yam win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $628
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Liz Hernández Romero win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $613
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Aníbal Ostoa Ortega win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $770
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Armando Toledo Jamit win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $688
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Martina Kantún Can win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $712
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Rocío Abreu Artiñano win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $617
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Andrés Fernández del Valle win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $616
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Gerardo Sánchez Sansores win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $640
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Christian Castro Bello win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $630
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Ricardo Medina Farfán win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $640
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Ariana Rejón Lara win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $674
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Laura Baqueiro Ramos win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $670
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $672
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Pablo Angulo Briceño win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $611
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Emilio Lara Calderón win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $677
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Nelly Márquez Zapata win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $601
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Yolanda Valladares Valle win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $568
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Salvador Farías González win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $640
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Rosario Cruz Hernández win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $688
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Eliseo Fernández Montúfar win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $851
  DATA: [Yes: 5.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Biby Rabelo de la Torre win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $608
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Dulce Dorantes Cervera win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $682
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Daniel Barreda Pavón win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $641
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Francisco Farías Bailón win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $677
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Paul Arce Ontiveros win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $597
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics