This PredictPedia market covers the winner of the 2027 gubernatorial election in Michoacán, Mexico. The contract is listed on Polymarket and is organized as a set of separate yes or no markets, one for each named candidate [1]. The election is scheduled for June 6, 2027, concurrently with the 2027 federal elections, when voters will also elect 17 governors, members of 31 local congresses, and numerous municipal authorities [2]. The Michoacán contract is one part of that wider electoral calendar. The resolution rules are the core of the contract. It resolves according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial election, and an interim or caretaker governor does not qualify [1]. The rules say the market resolves based on a consensus of credible reporting. If the reporting is ambiguous, the market resolves on official results published by government sources in Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico [1]. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other [1]. The timing fields in the provider data are worth reading carefully. The listed end time of June 7, 2027 at 03:59 UTC is the contract closing time shown by the provider [1]. It is not a separate announcement of when results will be declared, and the contract's resolution depends on the reporting and official results described above. The election date of June 6, 2027 comes from the general scheduling of the local elections [2]. Each named candidate has its own yes and no market within the same event, so the prices for different candidates are separate contract prices rather than parts of one fixed distribution. A yes price is a market snapshot, not an executable quote or a verified probability of that candidate winning. Trading volume in these markets is not a measure of liquidity or the number of participants.

Historical Context

The 2027 Michoacán contract sits within a series of Mexican local elections that are scheduled to be held on June 6, 2027, concurrently with the federal elections [2]. Michoacán's recent gubernatorial history includes Lázaro Cárdenas Batel, who served as governor from 2002 to 2008 for the PRD after holding federal legislative seats for his home state [3]. The sources do not describe the candidates' records or the results of earlier Michoacán elections beyond that background.

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