Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Guerrero Governor Election Winner

Reported volume

PM $95.7K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Guerrero Governor Election Winner

Vol

PM $95.7K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Beatriz Mojica Morga at 88.3%.

Polymarket

Beatriz Mojica Morga88.3%
Esthela Damián Peralta4.8%
Carlos Reyes Torres4%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña3.9%
Manuel Añorve Baños3.8%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

28 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(28)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	88.3%
Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	4.8%
Will Carlos Reyes Torres win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	4.0%
Will Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	3.9%
Will Manuel Añorve Baños win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	3.8%
Will Mario Moreno Arcos win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	0.9%
Will Karen Castrejón Trujillo win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	0.9%
Will Rubén Cayetano García win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	0.5%
Will Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	0.5%
Will Gustavo Alarcón Herrera win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	0.5%
Will Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	0.5%
Will Héctor Astudillo Flores win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	0.5%
Will Evodio Velázquez Aguirre win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	0.5%
Will Javier Saldaña Almazán win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	0.5%
Will Rogelio Ortega Martínez win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	0.4%
Will Alberto López Rosas win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	0.4%
Will Guadalupe Eguiluz win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	0.4%
Will Félix Salgado Macedonio win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	0.3%
Will Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	0.1%
Will Yesenia Galarza Castro win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	0.1%
Will Erika Lorena Lührs win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	0.1%
Will Julián López Galeana win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	0.1%
Will Abelina López Rodríguez win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Iván Hernández Díaz win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Genaro Vázquez Flores win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Alejandro Bravo Abarca win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Eloy Salmerón Díaz win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Poly	<0.1%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $95.7K

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Guerrero Governor Election Winner
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $95.7K
Coverage: 28 of 28 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358329; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-beatriz-mojica-morga-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852824
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $18.2K
Outcome Yes: 88.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 11.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358330; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-esthela-damian-peralta-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852825
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $32.8K
Outcome Yes: 4.8%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Abelina López Rodríguez win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358331; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-abelina-lopez-rodriguez-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852826
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.5K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Félix Salgado Macedonio win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358332; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-felix-salgado-macedonio-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852827
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.1K
Outcome Yes: 0.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358333; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-pablo-amilcar-sandoval-ballesteros-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852828
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $5.2K
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Rogelio Ortega Martínez win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358334; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-rogelio-ortega-martinez-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852829
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.4K
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Alberto López Rosas win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358335; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-alberto-lopez-rosas-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852830
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.4K
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Iván Hernández Díaz win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358336; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ivan-hernandez-diaz-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852831
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $816.76
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358337; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-marcial-rodriguez-saldana-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852832
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.9K
Outcome Yes: 3.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.2%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Rubén Cayetano García win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358338; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ruben-cayetano-garcia-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852833
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.3K
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Javier Saldaña Almazán win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358339; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-javier-saldana-almazan-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852834
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.4K
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Genaro Vázquez Flores win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358340; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-genaro-vazquez-flores-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852835
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $404.82
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358341; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-zeferino-gomez-valdovinos-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852836
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $603.89
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358342; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-norma-otilia-hernandez-martinez-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852837
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.3K
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Guadalupe Eguiluz win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358343; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-guadalupe-eguiluz-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852838
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.8K
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Karen Castrejón Trujillo win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358344; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-karen-castrejon-trujillo-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852839
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $2.6K
Outcome Yes: 0.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.2%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Manuel Añorve Baños win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358345; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-manuel-anorve-banos-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852840
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $3.6K
Outcome Yes: 3.8%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Alejandro Bravo Abarca win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358346; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-alejandro-bravo-abarca-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852841
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.0K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Gustavo Alarcón Herrera win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358347; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-gustavo-alarcon-herrera-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852842
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.9K
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Eloy Salmerón Díaz win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358348; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-eloy-salmeron-diaz-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852843
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $829.31
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Yesenia Galarza Castro win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358349; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-yesenia-galarza-castro-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852844
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.3K
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358350; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-gabriela-bernal-resendiz-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852845
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.9K
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Mario Moreno Arcos win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358351; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-mario-moreno-arcos-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852846
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $2.5K
Outcome Yes: 0.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.1%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Héctor Astudillo Flores win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358352; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-hector-astudillo-flores-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852847
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.5K
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Julián López Galeana win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358353; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-julian-lopez-galeana-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852848
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.5K
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Erika Lorena Lührs win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358354; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-erika-lorena-luhrs-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852849
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.5K
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Evodio Velázquez Aguirre win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358355; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-evodio-velazquez-aguirre-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852850
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.9K
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Carlos Reyes Torres win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358356; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-carlos-reyes-torres-win-the-2027-guerrero-governor-election-20260803173852851
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $2.4K
Outcome Yes: 4.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics

Guerrero Governor Election Winner

Volume$95.70K

Markets28

28 of 28

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Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?

polymarket

Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?

Yes: 88.3¢
No: 11.7¢

Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?

polymarket

Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?

Yes: 4.8¢
No: 95.3¢

Will Carlos Reyes Torres win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?

polymarket

Will Carlos Reyes Torres win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?

Yes: 4.0¢
No: 96.0¢

Will Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?

polymarket

Will Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?

Yes: 3.9¢
No: 96.2¢

Will Manuel Añorve Baños win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?

polymarket

Will Manuel Añorve Baños win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?

Yes: 3.8¢
No: 96.3¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketPolitics

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in California? (Xavier Becerra)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 96.6%Rules differK Yes 95.8%

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in California? (Steve Hilton)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 3.4%Rules differK Yes 4.3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Alaska Governor Election Winner

PM $1.58M · K 842.6K contracts

Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in Alaska? (Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 79%Rules differK Yes 81.5%

Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in Alaska? (Bernadette Wilson)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 18.5%Rules differK Yes 15.5%

Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in Alaska? (Bill Walker)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

14 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Michoacán Governor Election Winner

PM $61.8K

Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Yes 41.1%

Will Grecia Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Yes 33.1%

Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Yes 10.1%

+19 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC

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Jun 07, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC

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Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Guerrero Governor Election Winner

Guerrero Governor Election Winner

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