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Event GroupKALSHIElections

2028 Presidential matchup

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2028 Presidential matchup

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Kalshi

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16 markets tracked

Will Gavin Newsom and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

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Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Gavin Newsom and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	14%
Will Gavin Newsom and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	11%
Will Kamala Harris and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	6%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	6%
Will Jon Ossoff and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	5%
Will Jon Ossoff and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	4%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	3%
Will Kamala Harris and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	3%
Will Andy Beshear and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	2%
Will Josh Shapiro and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	2%
Will Pete Buttigieg and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	1%
Will Pete Buttigieg and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	1%
Will Andy Beshear and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	1%
Will Josh Shapiro and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	1%
Will James Talarico and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	1%
Will James Talarico and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

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About This Event

2028 If X are the nominees for the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Democratic Nominee, PRESNOM, Republican Nominee, PRESNOM. All conditions must be satisfied for the 2028 presidential el

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** 2028 Presidential matchup
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2028

If X are the nominees for the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Democratic Nominee, PRESNOM, Republican Nominee, PRESNOM. All conditions must be satisfied for the 2028 presidential el

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Pete Buttigieg (D) and Marco Rubio (R) are the nominees for the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impos"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Pete Buttigieg and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Pete Buttigieg and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Kamala Harris and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.1% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Kamala Harris and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.7% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will James Talarico and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will James Talarico and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Josh Shapiro and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Josh Shapiro and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Jon Ossoff and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Jon Ossoff and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.3% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Gavin Newsom and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Gavin Newsom and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Andy Beshear and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Andy Beshear and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

2028 Presidential matchup

Volume$0.00

Markets16

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KALSHI

Will Gavin Newsom and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 13.5¢No 86.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Gavin Newsom and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

If Gavin Newsom (D) and JD Vance (R) are the nominees for the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible

KALSHI

Will Gavin Newsom and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Gavin Newsom and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

If Gavin Newsom (D) and Marco Rubio (R) are the nominees for the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossi

KALSHI

Will Kamala Harris and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.3¢No 93.7¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Kamala Harris and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

If Kamala Harris (D) and JD Vance (R) are the nominees for the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossibl

KALSHI

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.9¢No 94.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) and JD Vance (R) are the nominees for the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or become

KALSHI

Will Jon Ossoff and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.7¢No 95.3¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jon Ossoff and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

If Jon Ossoff (D) and Marco Rubio (R) are the nominees for the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossibl

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/JqCv80" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="2028 Presidential matchup"></iframe>

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2028 Presidential matchup

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Will Gavin Newsom and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

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Events (1)

2028 Presidential matchup

Markets (16)

Will Gavin Newsom and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

Will Gavin Newsom and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

Will Gavin Newsom and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

Will Gavin Newsom and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

Will Kamala Harris and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

Will Kamala Harris and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

Will Jon Ossoff and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

Will Jon Ossoff and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Will Gavin Newsom and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

2028 Presidential matchup

Will Gavin Newsom and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

Will Gavin Newsom and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

Will Gavin Newsom and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

Will Gavin Newsom and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

Will Kamala Harris and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

Will Kamala Harris and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

Will Jon Ossoff and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

Will Jon Ossoff and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

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