2028 Presidential matchup | PredictPedia

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GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

2028 Presidential matchup

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2028 Presidential matchup

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Polymarket

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Kalshi

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0.0%avg

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16 markets tracked

Will Gavin Newsom and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

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Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Gavin Newsom and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	21%
Will Gavin Newsom and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	13%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	7%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	4%
Will Jon Ossoff and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	4%
Will Josh Shapiro and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	4%
Will Kamala Harris and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	3%
Will Josh Shapiro and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	3%
Will Jon Ossoff and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	3%
Will Andy Beshear and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	3%
Will Kamala Harris and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	2%
Will Pete Buttigieg and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	2%
Will Pete Buttigieg and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	2%
Will Andy Beshear and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	2%
Will James Talarico and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	2%
Will James Talarico and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

21%

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$0.00

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About This Event

2028 If X are the nominees for the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Democratic Nominee, PRESNOM, Republican Nominee, PRESNOM. All conditions must be satisfied for the 2028 presidential el

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, April 21, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** 2028 Presidential matchup
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2028

If X are the nominees for the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Democratic Nominee, PRESNOM, Republican Nominee, PRESNOM. All conditions must be satisfied for the 2028 presidential el

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Pete Buttigieg (D) and Marco Rubio (R) are the nominees for the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impos"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Pete Buttigieg and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Pete Buttigieg and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Kamala Harris and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Kamala Harris and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will James Talarico and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will James Talarico and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Josh Shapiro and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Josh Shapiro and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Jon Ossoff and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Jon Ossoff and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Gavin Newsom and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Gavin Newsom and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.8% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Andy Beshear and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Andy Beshear and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 14, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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2028 Presidential matchup

2028 Presidential matchup

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Will Gavin Newsom and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

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About This Event

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Gavin Newsom and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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