GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

When will Trump nominate someone to the Election Assistance Commission?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

When will Trump nominate someone to the Election Assistance Commission?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Jan 1, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	36%
Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Oct 1, 2026?	Kalshi	23%
Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Aug 1, 2026?	Kalshi	8%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

36%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

member of the Election Assistance Commission nomination If any person is nominated to be member of the Election Assistance Commission after Issuance and before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent to the Senate. This market will close and expire early following an official presidential announcement of a nominee for member of the Election Assistance Commission.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, July 21, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will Trump nominate someone to the Election Assistance Commission?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** member of the Election Assistance Commission nomination

If any person is nominated to be member of the Election Assistance Commission after Issuance and before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent to the Senate. This market will close and expire early following an official presidential announcement of a nominee for member of the Election Assistance Commission.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If any person is nominated to be member of the Election Assistance Commission after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent to the"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Oct 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Aug 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

When will Trump nominate someone to the Election Assistance Commission?

Volume$0.00

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

KALSHI

Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 35.5¢No 64.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Jan 1, 2027?

If any person is nominated to be member of the Election Assistance Commission after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent to the

KALSHI

Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Oct 1, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.0¢No 77.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Oct 1, 2026?

If any person is nominated to be member of the Election Assistance Commission after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026. then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent to the

KALSHI

Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Aug 1, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Aug 1, 2026?

If any person is nominated to be member of the Election Assistance Commission after Issuance and before Aug 1, 2026. then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent to the

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

22¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/KOdAlb" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="When will Trump nominate someone to the Election Assistance Commission?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

When will Trump nominate someone to the Election Assistance Commission?

When will Trump nominate someone to the Election Assistance Commission?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Jan 1, 2027?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

When will Trump nominate someone to the Election Assistance Commission?

Markets (3)

Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Jan 1, 2027?

Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Jan 1, 2027?

Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Oct 1, 2026?

Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Oct 1, 2026?

Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Aug 1, 2026?

Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Aug 1, 2026?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Jan 1, 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

When will Trump nominate someone to the Election Assistance Commission?

Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Jan 1, 2027?

Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Jan 1, 2027?

Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Oct 1, 2026?

Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Oct 1, 2026?

Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Aug 1, 2026?

Will someone be nominated for member of the Election Assistance Commission before Aug 1, 2026?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget