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Events
GroupKALSHI

Will a congressional term-limits amendment be ratified?

Will a congressional term-limits amendment be ratified?
Vol

K 8.7K contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

1

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Before 2029 at 4.3%.

Kalshi

  1. Before 20294.3%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 8.7K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Before Jan 20, 2029 If a constitutional amendment is added to the U.S. Constitution has been ratified before Jan 20, 2029 that requires term limits for at least some members of Congress, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?

Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?

PM $15.4K · K 345.1K contracts

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the 22nd Amendment be repealed or reinterpreted to let Presidents run for a third term before Jan 1, 2029

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.5%Rules differK Yes 8.6%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

PM $198.3K · K 668.5K contracts

Will Export-control chip security become law this year?

Kalshi: Will legislation that requires location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 35%Rules differK Yes 35%

Will Film/TV production expensing become law this year?

Kalshi: Will a federal film or TV production tax credit become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 4.7%Rules differK Yes 29.5%

Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year?

Kalshi: Will legislation that prohibits data center power usage from increasing consumers' electric utility bills become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 17%Rules differK Yes 17%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

15 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term?

Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term?

K 40.1K contracts
Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 8.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
KalshiWorld
Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?

Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?

K 13.4K contracts
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States and Canada reach, as an outcome of the 2026 USMCA review negotiations, a written interim or framework agreement establishing at least one material new or revised commitment concerning the operation, implementation, or revision of USMCA, where the agreement is not limited to withdrawing, suspending, or avoiding unilateral tariffs or retaliatory measures before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States and Mexico reach, as an outcome of the 2026 USMCA review negotiations, a written interim or framework agreement establishing at least one material new or revised commitment concerning the operation, implementation, or revision of USMCA, where the agreement is not limited to withdrawing, suspending, or avoiding unilateral tariffs or retaliatory measures before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 49.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States provides Canada and Mexico written notice of withdrawal from USMCA under Article 34.6 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 45.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?

Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?

K 9.1K contracts
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2029?Yes 4.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?

Which states will redistrict before the midterms?

K 2.40M contracts
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Florida)Yes 98.6%
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Tennessee)Yes 98.5%
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Texas)Yes 98.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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