GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Which states will redistrict before the midterms?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Which states will redistrict before the midterms?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

25 markets tracked

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (California)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(25)

Market	Platform	Price
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (California)	Kalshi	98%
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Ohio)	Kalshi	97%
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Louisiana)	Kalshi	97%
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Texas)	Kalshi	96%
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (North Carolina)	Kalshi	95%
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Florida)	Kalshi	95%
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Missouri)	Kalshi	92%
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Tennessee)	Kalshi	91%
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Alabama)	Kalshi	88%
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Utah)	Kalshi	17%
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Illinois)	Kalshi	6%
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Washington)	Kalshi	5%
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Mississippi)	Kalshi	5%
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Kansas)	Kalshi	3%
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Nebraska)	Kalshi	3%
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Georgia)	Kalshi	3%
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Wisconsin)	Kalshi	3%
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (New Jersey)	Kalshi	3%
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Indiana)	Kalshi	3%
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Minnesota)	Kalshi	3%
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (New York)	Kalshi	3%
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Virginia)	Kalshi	3%
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Arizona)	Kalshi	3%
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (South Carolina)	Kalshi	2%
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Maryland)	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before 2026 If X legislature has adopted new, qualifying congressional district maps after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. These maps must be: Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; AND Not enjoined, vacated, stayed, or struck down in full by any court with jurisdiction over congressional redistricting X as of the Expiration Date; AND In effect for use in the first scheduled federal election after its ad

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 2026

If X legislature has adopted new, qualifying congressional district maps after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. These maps must be: Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; AND Not enjoined, vacated, stayed, or struck down in full by any court with jurisdiction over congressional redistricting X as of the Expiration Date; AND In effect for use in the first scheduled federal election after its ad

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Arizona legislature has adopted new, qualifying congressional district maps after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: These maps must be:
Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; AND
Not enj"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Arizona)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Tennessee)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 90.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Mississippi)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Alabama)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Illinois)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (North Carolina)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.6% (0.0%)]

### 7. What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Wisconsin)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Florida)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.2% (0.0%)]

### 9. What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Kansas)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Nebraska)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.8% (0.0%)]

### 11. What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Utah)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Virginia)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Indiana)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (South Carolina)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 15. What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Texas)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.6% (0.0%)]

### 16. What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Missouri)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.2% (0.0%)]

### 17. What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Washington)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (New Jersey)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 19. What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Minnesota)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 20. What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Maryland)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]

### 21. What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Louisiana)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.2% (0.0%)]

### 22. What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Georgia)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 23. What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (New York)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 24. What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Ohio)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.2% (0.0%)]

### 25. What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (California)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Which states will redistrict before the midterms?

Volume$0.00

Markets25

25 of 25

Sort:

KALSHI

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (California)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.4¢

KALSHIPolitics

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (California)

If the California legislature has adopted new, qualifying congressional district maps after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: These maps must be: Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; AND Not

KALSHI

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Ohio)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.8¢No 3.2¢

KALSHIPolitics

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Ohio)

If the Ohio legislature has adopted new, qualifying congressional district maps after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: These maps must be: Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; AND Not enjoin

KALSHI

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Louisiana)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.8¢No 3.2¢

KALSHIPolitics

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Louisiana)

If the Louisiana legislature has adopted new, qualifying congressional district maps after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: These maps must be: Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; AND Not e

KALSHI

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Texas)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.4¢No 3.6¢

KALSHIPolitics

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Texas)

If the Texas legislature has adopted new, qualifying congressional district maps after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: These maps must be: Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; AND Not enjoi

KALSHI

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (North Carolina)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (North Carolina)

If the North Carolina legislature has adopted new, qualifying congressional district maps after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: These maps must be: Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; AND

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

37¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/YMMNeD" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Which states will redistrict before the midterms?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Which states will redistrict before the midterms?

Which states will redistrict before the midterms?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (California)

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Which states will redistrict before the midterms?

Markets (25)

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (California)

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (California)

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Ohio)

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Ohio)

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Louisiana)

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Louisiana)

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Texas)

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Texas)

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (North Carolina)

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (North Carolina)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (California)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Which states will redistrict before the midterms?

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (California)

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (California)

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Ohio)

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Ohio)

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Louisiana)

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Louisiana)

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Texas)

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Texas)

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (North Carolina)

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (North Carolina)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget