GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Chiclayo Mayoral Election Winner

Name: Chiclayo Mayoral Election Winner
End: 2026-10-04T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$28.20K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Chiclayo Mayoral Election Winner

Vol

$28.20K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $28.20K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $28.20K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

18 markets tracked

Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(18)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	Poly	35%
Will Edwin Gonzalo Vásquez Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	Poly	30%
Will César Aurelio Rodríguez Valderrama win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	Poly	8%
Will Miguel Ángel Bartra Grosso win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	Poly	7%
Will José Francisco Gálvez Tineo win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	Poly	3%
Will Agustín Villarreal Granados win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	Poly	2%
Will Jordy Estiven Rioja Cruzado win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	Poly	2%
Will Luis Eduardo Cabrejos Orellana win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	Poly	2%
Will Héctor Agustín Aguinaga Fernández win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	Poly	2%
Will Duber Alberto Fernández Silva win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	Poly	2%
Will Carlos Augusto Peña Reluz win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	Poly	2%
Will Marixa Quispe Izquierdo win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	Poly	2%
Will Félix Orlando Gamarra Reyes win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	Poly	1%
Will Manuel Enrique Calvay Salinas win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	Poly	1%
Will Edinson Lozano Ramírez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	Poly	1%
Will Jorge Luis Arboleda Ñeco win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	Poly	0%
Will Nilton Emilio Chafloque Córdova win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	Poly	0%
Will Luis Felipe Romero Peña win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

35%

Top Probability

$28.20K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The 2026 Chiclayo, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Chiclayo as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary re

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Chiclayo Mayoral Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 4, 2026 (30 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** The 2026 Chiclayo, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Chiclayo as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary re

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The 2026 Chiclayo, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Chiclayo as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $28.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $132.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.21)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Jorge Luis Arboleda Ñeco win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $149
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Edwin Gonzalo Vásquez Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $6.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Héctor Agustín Aguinaga Fernández win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $134
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will César Aurelio Rodríguez Valderrama win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Agustín Villarreal Granados win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $209
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Miguel Ángel Bartra Grosso win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $127
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Félix Orlando Gamarra Reyes win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $8.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Manuel Enrique Calvay Salinas win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $104
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Edinson Lozano Ramírez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $110
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $580
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Nilton Emilio Chafloque Córdova win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Jordy Estiven Rioja Cruzado win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $126
  DATA: [Yes: 1.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.1% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Duber Alberto Fernández Silva win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $690
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Luis Felipe Romero Peña win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will José Francisco Gálvez Tineo win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Luis Eduardo Cabrejos Orellana win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $132
  DATA: [Yes: 1.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.1% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Carlos Augusto Peña Reluz win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Marixa Quispe Izquierdo win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $111
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics