Top US Netflix Movie this week?
K 7.5K contracts
1
15
Top US Netflix Movie this week?
K 7.5K contracts
1
15
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Reminders of Him at 43.5%.
Kalshi
- Reminders of Him43.5%
- Heartland16.5%
- Tyler Perry's The Gospel of Christmas15.5%
- The Day After Tomorrow1.5%
- A Dog's Perfect Christmas1%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 7.5K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
15
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
The chart published on Nov 17, 2026 If X is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie on the chart published on Nov 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Nov 17, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix. Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-12T00:00:06.043Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This market asks whether a specific movie will be the number one title on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart. Under the rules, a market resolves to Yes "If X is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie on the chart published on Nov 17, 2026" [1]. The rules also say the charts are updated on Tuesday, that "the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before," and that "The chart published on Nov 17, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday" [1].
The wording differs across the listing. The event is titled "this week," and each contract title refers to "Nov 16, 2026," while the resolution text names the chart published on November 17, 2026 [1]. Readers should follow the resolution rule rather than the shorter titles.
Close times need care. Each included contract lists an endDate of 2026-11-23T15:00:00.000Z [1]. The saved source excerpt, however, says "Listed end time: not supplied," and its rules describe a close at 11:59 PM ET the day before the Tuesday chart update [1]. These do not agree on their face, so the listed end time should be checked with the provider.
Reading the snapshot
The snapshot was observed at 2026-11-12T00:00:06.043Z and retrieved at 2026-11-12T00:37:16.969Z [1]. These are capture times for a past observation, not live prices. The included Yes prices were 0.68 for The Gospel of Christmas, 0.165 for Reminders of Him, 0.155 for Heartland, 0.015 each for three titles, and 0.005 each for six titles [1].
This is a partial sample. The coverage record shows 12 of 15 markets included, with partialSample set to true [1]. The selection ranked markets by highest finite Yes price, so the three omitted markets are not described here. Their absence does not mean they are priced lower, and the included set should not be presented as the full field.
These are quoted snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The included Yes prices sum to about 1.08, so they do not form a normalized distribution. Volume values are not reported in this record, so they cannot indicate liquidity.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why any price is where it is. It does not show current prices, the current chart, or any result. It contains no information on the historical accuracy of these prices. Whether any title ranks first depends on the chart published under the stated rule, which is not included in this evidence.
References
- Kalshi: Top US Netflix Movie this week?. Provider data observed 2026-11-12T00:00:06.043Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 12, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is part of a series on PredictPedia that asks which title will rank first on a Netflix chart in a given week. The saved record describes a Kalshi event titled 'Top US Netflix Movie this week?' The contract resolves to Yes if the titled movie is number one on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart published on November 10, 2026 [1]. The rule states that the chart published that day covers the week ending on the previous Sunday [1]. The rule also says the Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday and that the market closes at 11:59 PM ET the day before [1]. Some individual market titles refer to November 9, 2026, while the event rule refers to the chart published on November 10, 2026 [1]. Readers should use the event rule as the resolution reference when the two differ. The event also states that it has not been endorsed by Netflix and that references to Netflix are descriptive only [1]. Each market in the sample asks whether one specific movie will be the top US Netflix movie on that chart. Each market has a Yes and a No outcome, so a single market answers one title's question rather than ranking every title against the others. The Netflix service that produces the chart is an over-the-top subscription video on-demand service that distributes original and acquired films and television shows [3]. The company that operates it is described as an American media company with production offices in several locations [2].
Historical Context
Netflix, Inc. was founded on August 29, 1997, by Reed Hastings and Marc Randolph in Scotts Valley, California, and is currently based in Los Gatos, California, according to the Wikipedia entry retrieved for this record [2]. The company is also described as the first streaming media company to be a member of the Motion Picture Association [2]. This historical background does not describe the chart rankings or any specific week's result.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single, dated ranking event: whether one title holds the number one position on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart published on the stated date [1]. Because the rule ties resolution to one published chart rather than to a general measure of popularity, the outcome depends on that specific publication [1]. The saved sample includes twelve markets from this one event, each asking about a different movie [1]. A price in this sample reflects a snapshot from the saved record and is not a live or executable quote.
Snapshot context
The archived provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-10 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Which chart decides whether a market resolves to Yes?
The market resolves to Yes if the titled movie is number one on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart published on November 10, 2026 [1]. The rule describes that chart as covering the week ending on the previous Sunday [1].
When does the market close?
The event rule says the Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday, so the market closes at 11:59 PM ET the day before [1]. The saved record does not supply a separate listed end time [1].
Is Netflix involved in this contract?
The event states that it has not been endorsed by Netflix and that references to Netflix are descriptive only [1]. The company is the operator of the service that publishes the chart referenced in the rule [1][2].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
