#2 Global Netflix Show this week?
K 5.0K contracts
1
12
#2 Global Netflix Show this week?
K 5.0K contracts
1
12
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Black Doves: Season 2 at 76%.
Kalshi
- Black Doves: Season 276%
- Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 114.5%
- The Body: Season 18.5%
- Power Season 11.5%
- Will Trent: Season 11.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 5.0K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
12
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
The chart published on Nov 17, 2026 If X 1 is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Show on the chart published on Nov 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Nov 17, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix. Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-11T09:00:06.029Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied Kalshi event asks which show will rank #2 on Netflix's Top 10 Global Show chart. The rules state that "If X Y is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Show on the chart published on Nov 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. Each listed market names a different show and refers to "Nov 16, 2026" in its title [1]. The rules also say the chart "will be for the week ending the previous Sunday" [1]. Because the event rules cite the Nov 17 chart while the market titles cite Nov 16, readers should check the exact wording of each contract before comparing them.
The rules say "the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before" the chart is published, which is a close-time rule rather than a listed date [1]. The saved market records show an end date of 2026-11-23T15:00:00.000Z for all ten contracts [1]. The source excerpt also says "Listed end time: not supplied," so this app's listed end time and the excerpt's wording do not fully agree. Treat the close time as the saved record shows it, and do not infer the resolution date from it.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-11-11T09:00:06.029Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-11T09:07:17.290Z [1]. They describe that moment only. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The Black Doves: Season 2 contract shows Yes at 0.48 and No at 0.52 [1]. Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1 shows Yes at 0.165 and No at 0.835 [1]. Nobody Wants This: Season 3 shows Yes at 0.025 [1]. Seven other contracts each show Yes at 0.02 [1]. Each contract is a separate yes or no question, so the prices should not be added or averaged across shows.
Volume is not supplied, so this snapshot says nothing about liquidity or how many traders took part.
What remains uncertain
All ten saved markets for this Kalshi event are included, and the sample is not marked partial [1]. The application's sample warning, however, states that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Any show missing from this record cannot be assumed to have a lower price.
The snapshot also cannot show why any price is where it is, and it does not reflect any chart result, since none is supplied. Contracts on other platforms may use different wording, close times, or rules, so their prices should not be treated as an arbitrage signal without a close reading of the terms.
References
- Kalshi: #2 Global Netflix Show this week?. Provider data observed 2026-11-11T09:00:06.029Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 11, 2026 UTCOverview
The contract titled "#2 Global Netflix Show this week?" is listed on Kalshi [1]. Its rule states that if a named title is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Show on the chart published on Nov 17, 2026, the market resolves to Yes [1]. Each market in the saved event asks whether a specific Netflix title will hold that position, so the event is a set of separate yes or no questions about one chart position. The rule ties timing to Netflix's chart schedule. It says the Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday, that the market closes at 11:59 PM ET the day before, and that the chart published on Nov 17, 2026 covers the week ending the previous Sunday [1]. The individual markets in this saved event carry titles that refer to Nov 16, 2026, which differs from the Nov 17 chart date in the rule text. Anyone reviewing a specific market should read the rule text for how that market resolves rather than relying on the market title alone. The rule also states that the market and its products have not been endorsed by Netflix, and that references to Netflix and its marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi [1]. The company itself is an American media company that owns and operates a subscription video on-demand service offering acquired and original programming, along with third-party content licensed from other producers and distributors [2]. The service primarily distributes original and acquired films and television shows and is available internationally in multiple languages [3].
Historical Context
Netflix, Inc. was founded on August 29, 1997, by Reed Hastings and Marc Randolph in Scotts Valley, California, and is currently based in Los Gatos, California [2]. The company's subscription streaming service is described in the same background source as showcasing acquired and original programming, as well as third-party content licensed from other production companies and distributors [2]. The background sources do not describe the history of the Top 10 chart itself, so this section covers only the company and its service.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single weekly ranking outcome: whether a named title is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Show on the chart published on Nov 17, 2026 [1]. Because the outcome is tied to one published chart rather than to viewing figures in general, the rule text is the reference for what counts. The contract's timing rules, including the Tuesday chart update and the close time the day before, determine when trading ends relative to the chart's publication [1]. Readers should therefore treat the rule text, not the general name of the show or the platform, as the basis for any assessment of a given market.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-12 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the contract ask?
It asks whether a specific title is ranked #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Show on the chart published on Nov 17, 2026, and resolves to Yes if it is [1].
When does trading close?
The rule states that the Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday and that the market closes at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart is published [1]. The rule does not supply a separate listed end time for the event [1].
Does Netflix endorse this contract?
No. The rule states that the market and its products have not been endorsed by Netflix, and that references to Netflix are descriptive only [1].
Do the background sources confirm current chart results?
No. The Wikipedia background excerpts describe the company and its service in general terms and do not report current chart positions or events [2][3].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
