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Events
GroupKALSHI

Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run?

Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run?
Vol

K 1.4K contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Before Jul 1, 2027 at 19.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Before Jul 1, 202719.5%
  2. Before Jan 1, 202715.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 1.4K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

2028 President of the United States race If Ron DeSantis has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before X 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources. This market will close and expire early if the person announces their candidacy.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketPolitics
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

PM $1.22M
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 49.5%
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 25.6%
Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 13.9%
+68 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

PM $120.2K
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028?Yes 87.8%
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028?Yes 82.5%
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028?Yes 79.1%
+68 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
2028 Republican presidential nominee

2028 Republican presidential nominee

PM $713.85M · K 70.32M contracts

Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Kalshi: Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? (Ted Cruz)

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.4%Rules differK Yes 81.5%

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Kalshi: Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? (J.D. Vance)

Related contracts

PM Yes 43.8%Rules differK Yes 79%

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Kalshi: Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? (Ron DeSantis)

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.8%Rules differK Yes 65.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

67 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

PM $14.1K
Will J.D. Vance be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 40.5%
Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 36%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 22%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

PM $115.7K
Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes 63.5%
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes 24%
Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes 18.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Apr 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

PM $717.70M · K 75.36M contracts

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (J.D. Vance)

Needs review

PM Yes 20.1%Review neededK Yes 21.5%

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez)

Needs review

PM Yes 13.1%Review neededK Yes 9.7%

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (Gavin Newsom)

Needs review

PM Yes 9%Review neededK Yes 9.8%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

22 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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