GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner

Name: St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner
End: 2026-08-18T16:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$57.95K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner

Vol

$57.95K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $57.95K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $57.95K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?	Poly	88%
Will Ken Welch win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?	Poly	12%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

88%

Top Probability

$57.95K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The 2026 St. Petersburg mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner 
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Aug 18, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** The 2026 St. Petersburg mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The 2026 St. Petersburg mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayo"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $54.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $23.7K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.31)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 18, 2026): Vol $47.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Ken Welch win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 18, 2026): Vol $7.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics