Snapshot observed 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The event asks who will be the next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt. It resolves to the next individual who officially assumes the office after the scheduled Landtag elections, which the source lists as "September 6, 2026" [1]. To count, the person "must be officially sworn in," and "Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market" [1]. The primary resolution source is "official information from the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used" [1].

The source also states that if no such Chief Minister takes office "by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'" [1]. The event's listed end time is 2027-06-01T03:59:00.000Z [1]. Each individual candidate contract in the saved data lists an end date of 2026-09-07T03:59:00.000Z [1]. That date is a closing time in the saved data, not an announced election result or swearing-in date, and it differs from the event's listed end time, so readers should check which field applies to the contract they are comparing.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z, and the application retrieved the source at 2026-10-22T02:39:03.529Z [1]. These are snapshot values, not current or executable quotes.

Within this saved Polymarket event, the highest Yes price is 0.74 for Ulrich Siegmund, with a No price of 0.26 [1]. Sven Schulze's Yes price is 0.0225 and Sepp Müller's is 0.014 [1]. The other nine listed candidates have Yes prices from 0.0095 down to 0.0005 [1]. Each candidate is a separate binary contract, so the Yes and No prices should be read within each contract rather than averaged across contracts.

The saved sample includes all 12 markets for this event, with no partial sample flag [1]. The source still notes that inclusion "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. The listed Yes prices in this snapshot add up to roughly 0.80, so the remaining probability is not represented in these rows. Nothing in the evidence gives a price for "Other," so no conclusion about it can be drawn from this sample.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not include trading volume, liquidity, the number of traders, or any explanation for price changes. Prices should not be read as verified probabilities or as evidence of how traders view the outcome. The evidence also contains no reporting on the election, candidate developments, or any results after the observation time.

References

1. Polymarket: Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?. Provider data observed 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z.