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GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHICommodities

How high will WTI oil get by Jul 31, 2026?

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How high will WTI oil get by Jul 31, 2026?

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16 markets tracked

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $74 by Jul 31, 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $74 by Jul 31, 2026?	Kalshi	90%
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $75.50 by Jul 31, 2026?	Kalshi	67%
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $75 by Jul 31, 2026?	Kalshi	67%
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $74.50 by Jul 31, 2026?	Kalshi	67%
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $76.5 by Jul 31, 2026?	Kalshi	65%
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $76 by Jul 31, 2026?	Kalshi	64%
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $77 by Jul 31, 2026?	Kalshi	61%
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $78 by Jul 31, 2026?	Kalshi	58%
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $78.5 by Jul 31, 2026?	Kalshi	51%
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $79 by Jul 31, 2026?	Kalshi	49%
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $79.5 by Jul 31, 2026?	Kalshi	49%
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $80 by Jul 31, 2026?	Kalshi	48%
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $80.5 by Jul 31, 2026?	Kalshi	32%
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $81 by Jul 31, 2026?	Kalshi	31%
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $81.5 by Jul 31, 2026?	Kalshi	18%
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $82 by Jul 31, 2026?	Kalshi	15%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

90%

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About This Event

In 2026 If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil, as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices, is above X between Issuance and Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Market issuance - July 6th, 2026 at 6:00PM ET. If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, August 24, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How high will WTI oil get by Jul 31, 2026?
**Category:** Commodities | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2026

If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil, as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices, is above X between Issuance and Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Market issuance - July 6th, 2026 at 6:00PM ET. If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $82 between Issuance and Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Market issuance - July 6th, 2026 at 6:00PM ET.

 Early close condition: If this event oc"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $82 by Jul 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $81.5 by Jul 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $81 by Jul 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $80.5 by Jul 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $80 by Jul 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $79.5 by Jul 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $79 by Jul 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $78.5 by Jul 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $78 by Jul 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $77 by Jul 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 60.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $76.5 by Jul 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 64.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $76 by Jul 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $75.50 by Jul 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 66.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $75 by Jul 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 66.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $74.50 by Jul 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 66.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $74 by Jul 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHICommodities

How high will WTI oil get by Jul 31, 2026?

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KALSHI

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $74 by Jul 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.5¢No 10.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $74 by Jul 31, 2026?

If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $74 between Issuance and Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Market issuance - July 6th, 2026 at 6:00PM ET. Early close condition: If this event oc

KALSHI

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $75.50 by Jul 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 66.5¢No 33.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $75.50 by Jul 31, 2026?

If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $75.50 between Issuance and Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Market issuance - July 6th, 2026 at 6:00PM ET. Early close condition: If this event

KALSHI

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $75 by Jul 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 66.5¢No 33.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $75 by Jul 31, 2026?

If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $75 between Issuance and Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Market issuance - July 6th, 2026 at 6:00PM ET. Early close condition: If this event oc

KALSHI

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $74.50 by Jul 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 66.5¢No 33.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $74.50 by Jul 31, 2026?

If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $74.50 between Issuance and Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Market issuance - July 6th, 2026 at 6:00PM ET. Early close condition: If this event

KALSHI

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $76.5 by Jul 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 64.5¢No 35.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $76.5 by Jul 31, 2026?

If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $76.5 between Issuance and Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Market issuance - July 6th, 2026 at 6:00PM ET. Early close condition: If this event

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How high will WTI oil get by Jul 31, 2026?

How high will WTI oil get by Jul 31, 2026?

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Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $74 by Jul 31, 2026?

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Events (1)

How high will WTI oil get by Jul 31, 2026?

Markets (16)

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $74 by Jul 31, 2026?

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $74 by Jul 31, 2026?

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $75.50 by Jul 31, 2026?

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $75.50 by Jul 31, 2026?

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $75 by Jul 31, 2026?

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $75 by Jul 31, 2026?

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $74.50 by Jul 31, 2026?

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $74.50 by Jul 31, 2026?

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $76.5 by Jul 31, 2026?

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $76.5 by Jul 31, 2026?

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Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $74 by Jul 31, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How high will WTI oil get by Jul 31, 2026?

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $74 by Jul 31, 2026?

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $74 by Jul 31, 2026?

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $75.50 by Jul 31, 2026?

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $75.50 by Jul 31, 2026?

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $75 by Jul 31, 2026?

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $75 by Jul 31, 2026?

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $74.50 by Jul 31, 2026?

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $74.50 by Jul 31, 2026?

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $76.5 by Jul 31, 2026?

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $76.5 by Jul 31, 2026?

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