Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

Jumper FDV one day after launch?

Name: Jumper FDV one day after launch?
End: 2028-01-02T05:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$31.05K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Jumper FDV one day after launch?

Vol

$31.05K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $31.05K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $31.05K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $60M one day after launch?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $60M one day after launch?	Poly	97%
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $75M one day after launch?	Poly	88%
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?	Poly	77%
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	Poly	64%
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	Poly	42%
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Poly	31%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$31.05K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Jumper's token is greater than the listed value at the measurement time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A token is considered launched the first time it is actively and publicly tradable. The measurement time is 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The FDV is the token price at the measurement time multiplied by the token's total supply at that time, which includes tokens that are locked, vested

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Jumper FDV one day after launch?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 2, 2028 (448 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Jumper's token is greater than the listed value at the measurement time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A token is considered launched the first time it is actively and publicly tradable. The measurement time is 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch.

The FDV is the token price at the measurement time multiplied by the token's total supply at that time, which includes tokens that are locked, vested

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Jumper's token is greater than the listed value at the measurement time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A token is considered launched the first time it is actively and publicly tradable. The measurement time is"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $31.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $85.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.36)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $60M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 2, 2028): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 96.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.3% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $75M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 2, 2028): Vol $3.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 88.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 2, 2028): Vol $8.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 76.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 2, 2028): Vol $7.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 2, 2028): Vol $6.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 2, 2028): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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