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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by December 31?

Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by December 31?
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As of Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, Yes is priced at 68.5% on Polymarket.

Polymarket

  1. Yes68.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $0

Reported volume · provider units

1

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Speaker of the 26th Knesset is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An individual serving as, appointed as, or deemed to be acting or temporary Speaker will not trigger a "Yes" resolution to this market. Only the successful election of the first Speaker of the 26th Knesset will result in this market's resolving to "Yes". This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a Speaker of the 26th Knesset is successfully elected. Otherwise, this market may not resolve until its expiration time passes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Knesset and the Government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiWorld
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+4 moreNext deadline Aug 30, 2027 UTC
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Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
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Same question, fine print differs

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Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
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+2 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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