Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
PM $1.01M · K 419.8K contracts
2
23
Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
PM $1.01M · K 419.8K contracts
2
23
Polymarket vs Kalshi
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, Carlos Ulberg is priced at 94% on Polymarket and 92.5% on Kalshi.
| Outcome (Yes price) | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos UlbergSame question, fine print differs | 94% | 92.5% | 1.5 pts |
| Magomed AnkalaevSame question, fine print differs | 3.3% | 5.5% | 2.2 pts |
| Alex PereiraSame question, fine print differs | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.8 pts |
| Jiří ProcházkaSame question, fine print differs | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3 pts |
| Khalil Rountree Jr.Same question, fine print differs | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1 pts |
| Azamat MurzakanovSame question, fine print differs | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4 pts |
| Jan BłachowiczSame question, fine print differs | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Jamahal HillSame question, fine print differs | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3 pts |
Yes prices for outcomes an automated review found to ask the same question on both platforms. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $1.01M · K 419.8K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
23
Saved contracts
8
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
1
Same-question pairs
8
Largest saved gap: 2.2 percentage points.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
