GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Winnipeg Mayoral Election

Name: Winnipeg Mayoral Election
End: 2026-10-28T12:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$22.96K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Winnipeg Mayoral Election

Vol

$22.96K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $22.96K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $22.96K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?	Poly	57%
Will Kevin Klein win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?	Poly	17%
Will Mazher Alam win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?	Poly	8%
Will Don Woodstock win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?	Poly	5%
Will Michael Vogiatzakis win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?	Poly	5%
Will Noah Redden win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?	Poly	0%
Will Johnny Calderon win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?	Poly	0%
Will Umar Hayat win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?	Poly	0%
Will Christopher Clacio win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?	Poly	0%
Will Zachary Uminski win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?	Poly	0%
Will Joshua Pagdato win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

57%

Top Probability

$22.96K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible r

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Winnipeg Mayoral Election
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 28, 2026 (53 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible r

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be con"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $23.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $171.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.13)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $12.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Joshua Pagdato win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $224
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Mazher Alam win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Umar Hayat win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $170
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Michael Vogiatzakis win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Christopher Clacio win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $208
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Don Woodstock win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $4.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Johnny Calderon win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Noah Redden win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $204
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Zachary Uminski win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $160
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Kevin Klein win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $167
  DATA: [Yes: 17.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics