GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Name: Republican VP Nominee 2028
End: 2028-08-14T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$37.46K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Vol

$37.46K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $37.46K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $37.46K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

35 markets tracked

Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(35)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	32%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	9%
Will Kristi Noem be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	8%
Will Donald Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	8%
Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	8%
Will Ted Cruz be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	6%
Will Thomas Massie be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	6%
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	6%
Will Tucker Carlson be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	5%
Will Ivanka Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	5%
Will Josh Hawley be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	5%
Will Elise Stefanik be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	5%
Will Rand Paul be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	4%
Will Brian Kemp be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	4%
Will Matt Gaetz be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	3%
Will Nikki Haley be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	3%
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	3%
Will Joe Kent be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	3%
Will Ron DeSantis be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	3%
Will Glenn Youngkin be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	3%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	3%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	2%
Will Elon Musk be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	2%
Will Donald Trump Jr. be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	2%
Will Byron Donalds be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	2%
Will Eric Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	2%
Will Katie Britt be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	2%
Will John Thune be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	2%
Will Pete Hegseth be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	1%
Will Erika Kirk be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	1%
Will Kim Kardashian be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	1%
Will Mike Pence be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	1%
Will Steve Bannon be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	1%
Will Greg Abbott be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	1%
Will Tom Brady be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

32%

Top Probability

$37.46K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Republican VP Nominee 2028
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Aug 14, 2028 (709 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.


**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources,"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $37.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $805.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.05)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Donald Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $791
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $3.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $10.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Tulsi Gabbard be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.3% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Glenn Youngkin be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $496
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Donald Trump Jr. be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Ron DeSantis be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $742
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Nikki Haley be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $613
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $619
  DATA: [Yes: 2.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Greg Abbott be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $612
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Brian Kemp be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $841
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.8% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Byron Donalds be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $834
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Elise Stefanik be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $561
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Josh Hawley be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $708
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Ted Cruz be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $879
  DATA: [Yes: 6.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.7% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Elon Musk be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $498
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Matt Gaetz be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $596
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Katie Britt be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $511
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will John Thune be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $910
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Kristi Noem be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $464
  DATA: [Yes: 8.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.8% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Mike Pence be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $490
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Tucker Carlson be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $450
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.8% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Ivanka Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $448
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.8% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Tom Brady be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $581
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Rand Paul be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $559
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Steve Bannon be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $382
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Erika Kirk be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $759
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Kim Kardashian be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $420
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $919
  DATA: [Yes: 8.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.2% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Thomas Massie be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $807
  DATA: [Yes: 5.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Eric Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $785
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Joe Kent be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $635
  DATA: [Yes: 2.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Pete Hegseth be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 14, 2028): Vol $855
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics