Name: Democratic VP Nominee 2028
End: 2028-08-10T00:00:00.000Z

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Democratic VP Nominee 2028 | PredictPedia

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43 markets tracked

Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

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Single-Platform Markets(43)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	25%
Will Gavin Newsom be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	24%
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	24%
Will Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	24%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	24%
Will Raphael Warnock be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	23%
Will Mark Kelly be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	23%
Will John Fetterman be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	23%
Will George Clooney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	23%
Will Chris Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	23%
Will Jon Ossoff be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	23%
Will Rahm Emanuel be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	23%
Will Oprah Winfrey be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	23%
Will Gina Raimondo be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	22%
Will Jared Polis be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	22%
Will Phil Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	22%
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	22%
Will Chelsea Clinton be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	22%
Will Beto O’Rourke be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	22%
Will Wes Moore be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	22%
Will Barack Obama be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	22%
Will Jon Stewart be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	22%
Will Hillary Clinton be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	22%
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination?	Poly	22%
Will Andrew Yang be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	22%
Will Ruben Gallego be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	22%
Will Kamala Harris be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	21%
Will Cory Booker be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	21%
Will Bernie Sanders be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	21%
Will James Talarico be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	20%
Will Roy Cooper be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	19%
Will Liz Cheney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	19%
Will J.B. Pritzker be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	18%
Will Ro Khanna be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	18%
Will Tim Walz be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	16%
Will Mark Cuban be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	15%
Will Hunter Biden be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	10%
Will Michelle Obama be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	10%
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	6%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	6%
Will Stephen A. Smith be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	5%
Will LeBron James be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	5%
Will Kim Kardashian be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	5%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Democratic VP Nominee 2028
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Aug 10, 2028 (847 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic P"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $88
* **Total Liquidity:** $973.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Gavin Newsom be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $23
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Wes Moore be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Kamala Harris be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Mark Cuban be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Raphael Warnock be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Tim Walz be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Mark Kelly be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Gina Raimondo be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Roy Cooper be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Jared Polis be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Barack Obama be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Liz Cheney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Phil Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Hunter Biden be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Stephen A. Smith be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Jon Ossoff be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will J.B. Pritzker be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Cory Booker be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Michelle Obama be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Rahm Emanuel be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will John Fetterman be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Jon Stewart be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Hillary Clinton be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Bernie Sanders be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will LeBron James be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will George Clooney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Chelsea Clinton be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Oprah Winfrey be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Beto O’Rourke be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will Chris Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will Ro Khanna be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 38. Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 39. Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $12
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 40. Will Andrew Yang be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 41. Will Kim Kardashian be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 42. Will Ruben Gallego be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 43. Will James Talarico be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

846d 6h remaining

Aug 10, 2028 12:00 AM

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19¢

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Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Markets (43)

Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Will Gavin Newsom be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Will Gavin Newsom be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Will Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Will Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

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Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

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Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Will Gavin Newsom be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Will Gavin Newsom be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Will Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Will Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

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