GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Name: Democratic VP Nominee 2028
End: 2028-08-10T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$93.31K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Vol

$93.31K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $93.31K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $93.31K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

43 markets tracked

Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(43)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	11%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	8%
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination?	Poly	6%
Will Raphael Warnock be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	6%
Will Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	5%
Will James Talarico be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	5%
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	5%
Will Jon Ossoff be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	5%
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	5%
Will Gina Raimondo be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	5%
Will Barack Obama be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	4%
Will Jon Stewart be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	4%
Will LeBron James be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	4%
Will Phil Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	4%
Will J.B. Pritzker be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	3%
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	3%
Will Wes Moore be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	3%
Will Chelsea Clinton be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	3%
Will Gavin Newsom be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	3%
Will Hunter Biden be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	3%
Will Mark Kelly be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	3%
Will Hillary Clinton be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	3%
Will Ro Khanna be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	3%
Will Rahm Emanuel be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	3%
Will Bernie Sanders be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	3%
Will Roy Cooper be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	2%
Will Jared Polis be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	2%
Will Ruben Gallego be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	2%
Will Mark Cuban be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	2%
Will Andrew Yang be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	2%
Will Tim Walz be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	2%
Will Kim Kardashian be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	2%
Will John Fetterman be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	1%
Will Cory Booker be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	1%
Will Michelle Obama be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	1%
Will Oprah Winfrey be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	1%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	1%
Will Beto O’Rourke be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	1%
Will Chris Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	1%
Will George Clooney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	1%
Will Stephen A. Smith be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	1%
Will Kamala Harris be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	1%
Will Liz Cheney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

11%

Top Probability

$93.31K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Democratic VP Nominee 2028
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Aug 10, 2028 (705 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic P"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $93.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.32M
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.07)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Gavin Newsom be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $9.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $4.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Wes Moore be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.8% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Stephen A. Smith be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Kamala Harris be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $812
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $5.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $4.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.6% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Jon Ossoff be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.8% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Mark Cuban be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.1% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will J.B. Pritzker be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Raphael Warnock be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Cory Booker be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Tim Walz be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Michelle Obama be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Mark Kelly be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Rahm Emanuel be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Gina Raimondo be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $12.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Roy Cooper be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will John Fetterman be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $677
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Jared Polis be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $808
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Jon Stewart be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.8% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Barack Obama be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.7% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Hillary Clinton be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $533
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Liz Cheney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $791
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Bernie Sanders be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Phil Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will LeBron James be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $549
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.8% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Hunter Biden be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $3.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will George Clooney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Chelsea Clinton be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $400
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $426
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Oprah Winfrey be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $883
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will Andrew Yang be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $602
  DATA: [Yes: 1.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.1% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will Beto O’Rourke be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $569
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 38. Will Kim Kardashian be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 39. Will Chris Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $937
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 40. Will Ruben Gallego be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $460
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]

### 41. Will Ro Khanna be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

### 42. Will James Talarico be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.6% (0.0%)]

### 43. Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $862
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics