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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Name: Democratic VP Nominee 2028
End: 2028-08-10T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$11.73K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Vol

$11.73K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $11.73K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $11.73K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

43 markets tracked

Will Kim Kardashian be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(43)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Kim Kardashian be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	22%
Will Chelsea Clinton be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	20%
Will Oprah Winfrey be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	17%
Will George Clooney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	14%
Will Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	10%
Will Gavin Newsom be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	10%
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	9%
Will Mark Kelly be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	7%
Will Bernie Sanders be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	7%
Will Jon Ossoff be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	7%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	7%
Will James Talarico be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	6%
Will Rahm Emanuel be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	6%
Will Phil Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	6%
Will Gina Raimondo be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	6%
Will Michelle Obama be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	6%
Will Jared Polis be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	6%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	6%
Will Jon Stewart be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	5%
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	5%
Will Stephen A. Smith be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	5%
Will Hillary Clinton be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	5%
Will Andrew Yang be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	5%
Will Liz Cheney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	5%
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	4%
Will Tim Walz be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	4%
Will Mark Cuban be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	4%
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	3%
Will Kamala Harris be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	2%
Will Cory Booker be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	2%
Will Wes Moore be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	2%
Will Barack Obama be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	1%
Will Ruben Gallego be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	1%
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination?	Poly	1%
Will John Fetterman be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	1%
Will Beto O’Rourke be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	1%
Will J.B. Pritzker be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	1%
Will Hunter Biden be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	1%
Will LeBron James be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	1%
Will Raphael Warnock be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	0%
Will Roy Cooper be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	0%
Will Chris Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	0%
Will Ro Khanna be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

22%

Top Probability

$11.73K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Democratic VP Nominee 2028
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Aug 10, 2028 (762 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic P"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $11.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.07M
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Gavin Newsom be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $331
  DATA: [Yes: 9.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.3% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $206
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.7% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Wes Moore be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $140
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Kamala Harris be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $153
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.6% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $366
  DATA: [Yes: 10.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.8% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Mark Cuban be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $442
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Raphael Warnock be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $132
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Tim Walz be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $600
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.8% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Mark Kelly be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $408
  DATA: [Yes: 7.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Gina Raimondo be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $210
  DATA: [Yes: 5.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.3% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Roy Cooper be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $159
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Jared Polis be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $192
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Barack Obama be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $463
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Liz Cheney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $183
  DATA: [Yes: 4.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.2% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Phil Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $192
  DATA: [Yes: 5.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.3% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Hunter Biden be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $357
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $714
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $536
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Stephen A. Smith be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $199
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $299
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Jon Ossoff be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $345
  DATA: [Yes: 7.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.8% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will J.B. Pritzker be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $124
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Cory Booker be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $214
  DATA: [Yes: 1.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Michelle Obama be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $590
  DATA: [Yes: 5.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.3% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Rahm Emanuel be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $298
  DATA: [Yes: 5.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.2% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $192
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.9% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will John Fetterman be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $340
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.7% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Jon Stewart be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $328
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.8% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Hillary Clinton be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $192
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Bernie Sanders be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $267
  DATA: [Yes: 7.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.7% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will LeBron James be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $153
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will George Clooney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $130
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Chelsea Clinton be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $92
  DATA: [Yes: 19.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.4% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Oprah Winfrey be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $92
  DATA: [Yes: 17.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.8% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Beto O’Rourke be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $197
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will Chris Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $368
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will Ro Khanna be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $351
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 38. Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $113
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 39. Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $213
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 40. Will Andrew Yang be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $192
  DATA: [Yes: 4.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.1% (0.0%)]

### 41. Will Kim Kardashian be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $92
  DATA: [Yes: 22.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.8% (0.0%)]

### 42. Will Ruben Gallego be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $143
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 43. Will James Talarico be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 10, 2028): Vol $414
  DATA: [Yes: 6.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics