Market snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 20, 2026?

Reported volume

K 11.2K contracts

Events

Markets

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Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 20, 2026?

Vol

K 11.2K contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Provider overview

polymarket

Reported lifetime volume

kalshi

11.2K contracts

Reported lifetime volume

Reviewed equivalent pairs

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Price ChartContract price history

9 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.9 on Oct 20, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.9 on Oct 20, 2026?	Kalshi	24.0%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.8 on Oct 20, 2026?	Kalshi	15.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.6 on Oct 20, 2026?	Kalshi	12.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.7 on Oct 20, 2026?	Kalshi	12.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 39.1 on Oct 20, 2026?	Kalshi	8.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.6 on Oct 20, 2026?	Kalshi	8.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 39.0 on Oct 20, 2026?	Kalshi	7.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 39.2 on Oct 20, 2026?	Kalshi	7.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 39.2 on Oct 20, 2026?	Kalshi	3.5%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 11.2K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

On Oct 20, 2026 If Trump's RCP approval average is X Y at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 20, 2026?
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 11.2K contracts
Coverage: 9 of 9 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.6 on Oct 20, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT20-U38.6; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct20
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 4.6K contracts
Outcome Yes: 12.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 87.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 39.2 on Oct 20, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT20-E39.2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct20
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 42.67 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.2% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 39.1 on Oct 20, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT20-E39.1; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct20
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 52.24 contracts
Outcome Yes: 8.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 91.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.1% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 39.0 on Oct 20, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT20-E39.0; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct20
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 425.51 contracts
Outcome Yes: 7.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.0% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.9 on Oct 20, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT20-E38.9; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct20
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.3K contracts
Outcome Yes: 24.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 76.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.9% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.8 on Oct 20, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT20-E38.8; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct20
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 386.22 contracts
Outcome Yes: 15.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 84.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.7 on Oct 20, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT20-E38.7; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct20
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 249.6 contracts
Outcome Yes: 12.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 87.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.7% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.6 on Oct 20, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT20-E38.6; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct20
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0.02 contracts
Outcome Yes: 8.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 91.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 39.2 on Oct 20, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT20-A39.2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct20
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 4.2K contracts
Outcome Yes: 7.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is above 39.2% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 20, 2026?

Volume$11.16K

Markets9

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Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.9 on Oct 20, 2026?

kalshi

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.9 on Oct 20, 2026?

Yes: 24.0¢
No: 76.0¢

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.8 on Oct 20, 2026?

kalshi

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.8 on Oct 20, 2026?

Yes: 15.5¢
No: 84.5¢

Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.6 on Oct 20, 2026?

kalshi

Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.6 on Oct 20, 2026?

Yes: 12.5¢
No: 87.5¢

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.7 on Oct 20, 2026?

kalshi

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.7 on Oct 20, 2026?

Yes: 12.5¢
No: 87.5¢

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 39.1 on Oct 20, 2026?

kalshi

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 39.1 on Oct 20, 2026?

Yes: 8.5¢
No: 91.5¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics

How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?

K 52.2K contracts

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 19 in Oct 2026?Yes 99.5%

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 17 in Oct 2026?Yes 99.5%

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 20 in Oct 2026?Yes 99.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Jan 30, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

PM $164.9K · K 261.1K contracts

Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be below 36% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub?

Related contracts

PM Yes 71%Rules differK Yes 80%

Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be below 35% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub?

Related contracts

PM Yes 24%Rules differK Yes 36.5%

Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be below 34% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub?

Related contracts

PM Yes 9.5%Rules differK Yes 20%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

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Next Market Deadline

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Oct 20, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

Reviewed equivalent pairs

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 20, 2026?

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