Top Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Nov 12, 2026
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Top Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Nov 12, 2026
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is WTF GOIN at 47.5%.
Kalshi
- WTF GOIN47.5%
- Todo Lo Fue47.5%
- Tina Tuesday47.5%
- take me home (4 christmas)47.5%
- POKITO47.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
15
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Nov 12, 2026 Chart If X ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Nov 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by YouTube. Any references to YouTube or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between YouTube and Kalshi. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-12T09:00:07.080Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The source describes a set of contracts tied to the YouTube Charts Daily Top Music Videos United States chart dated November 12, 2026. Each listed contract asks whether one named video will rank first on that chart. The rule text states: "If X ranks #1 on YouTube Charts' Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Nov 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes." [1] The source also says the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1]. Each contract therefore resolves on a single chart date, not on a general ranking over time.
The event-level listed end time is "not supplied" [1]. The individual contracts list an end date of November 26, 2026 at 15:00 UTC [1]. That date appears in the contract data. It is not an announced event date, and the evidence does not say when the chart is published.
Reading the snapshot
The snapshot was observed at 2026-11-12T09:00:07Z and retrieved at 2026-11-12T10:07:27Z [1]. It describes market prices at those times only. It is not a live quote and does not show executable prices.
The sample includes 12 of 15 markets in this Kalshi event, and the sample is marked partial [1]. The selection rule ordered markets by Yes price, then volume. Because the omitted three markets are not shown, their prices are unknown. Do not infer that they are lower or higher than the included rows.
Every included contract shows a Yes price of 0.475 and a No price of 0.525 [1]. Because the included titles are separate contracts, these Yes prices should not be combined into a single distribution. Their Yes prices sum to more than 1 across the twelve rows, so they cannot all be read as probabilities that exactly one shared outcome occurs. Equal prices in the snapshot also do not show which title is more likely to rank first.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show why these prices are where they are, how many traders hold each position, or how the prices have changed over time. It also does not contain the actual chart result, so the contracts have not resolved according to the supplied evidence. Volume and any liquidity measures are not described in this excerpt.
References
- Kalshi: Top Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Nov 12, 2026. Provider data observed 2026-11-12T09:00:07.080Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 12, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract concerns the YouTube Charts Daily Top Music Videos chart for the United States, dated November 12, 2026. Under the rules in the provider's event description, a market resolves to Yes if the named video ranks #1 on that chart. The event is categorized as entertainment and is listed on Kalshi [1]. The provider states that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The provider notes that the market and its products have not been endorsed by YouTube, and that references to YouTube are descriptive only [1]. The event is one of several Kalshi markets that share the same chart date and resolution rule. Each market in this saved sample asks whether a different music video will hold the top position. The contract's listed end date in the market data is November 26, 2026. That is a contract rule date, not an announced event date or a confirmed chart outcome. The provider's event record does not supply a separate listed end time [1]. The saved snapshot shows the markets as active at the time of observation, which does not establish their status now.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single ranking outcome: whether a specific music video is placed first on one dated daily chart. Because the rule ties resolution to a named chart and date, the outcome depends on that chart's published result rather than on general popularity or total views [1]. Viral music videos are described in general terms as videos that gain rapid attention online, with viewership that tends to expand quickly through word of mouth [2]. That background describes the kind of content that can move up a chart quickly, but the supplied evidence does not show how the YouTube chart is calculated or how this particular day's ranking will look. In the saved sample, each included market shows a Yes price of 0.475 and a No price of 0.525 [1]. These figures are observation snapshots from one point in time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of any video reaching first place. The sample includes 12 of 15 markets for this event, so the included set is partial and should not be read as the full field of candidate videos.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-12 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What must happen for this market to resolve to Yes?
The named video must rank #1 on the YouTube Charts Daily Top Music Videos United States chart dated November 12, 2026 [1].
Does a price near one half mean a video has a 47.5 percent chance of ranking first?
No. The saved prices are snapshots from a specific observation time and are not verified probabilities or executable quotes. The market data reports the same Yes and No prices for each included video in this sample [1].
What does the term viral music video refer to?
In general usage described by Wikipedia, viral music videos are those that have gained rapid attention on the Internet, with viewership that tends to expand quickly through instant communication [2]. This is background only and does not describe the contract's chart rules.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
