GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Maynas Mayoral Election Winner

Name: Maynas Mayoral Election Winner
End: 2026-10-04T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$14.80K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Maynas Mayoral Election Winner

Vol

$14.80K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $14.80K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $14.80K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

19 markets tracked

Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(19)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Poly	66%
Will Joel Ronal Parimango Álvarez win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Poly	11%
Will Jean Pier López Sifuentes win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Poly	7%
Will Euler Carlos Hernández Arévalo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Poly	6%
Will Ernesto Concha La Torre win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Poly	5%
Will Tony Jonatan Mori Vargas win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Poly	5%
Will Cynthia Stefani Gómez Gómez win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Poly	4%
Will Deiby Marín Ortega win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Poly	4%
Will Enrique Augusto Rodríguez Morales win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Poly	4%
Will Boris Guido Morey Sifuentes win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Poly	4%
Will Rubén Antonio Hernández Del Águila win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Poly	4%
Will Sergio Antonio Donayre Ramírez win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Poly	4%
Will Antony Jhonatan Pinedo Lozano win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Poly	3%
Will Cleiver Inuma Chávez win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Poly	3%
Will Juan Aguilar Gómez win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Poly	2%
Will Nery Mozombite Cerrón win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Poly	2%
Will Jenson Harold Rolando Mariñas Cárdenas win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Poly	1%
Will Richard Arturo Vásquez Salazar win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Poly	1%
Will Sivily Maritza Paz Pérez win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

66%

Top Probability

$14.80K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The 2026 Maynas, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Maynas as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolu

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Maynas Mayoral Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 4, 2026 (30 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** The 2026 Maynas, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Maynas as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolu

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The 2026 Maynas, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Maynas as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed bef"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $14.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $111.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.13)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Richard Arturo Vásquez Salazar win the next Maynas mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $296
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Enrique Augusto Rodríguez Morales win the next Maynas mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $377
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Joel Ronal Parimango Álvarez win the next Maynas mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $4.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Deiby Marín Ortega win the next Maynas mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $226
  DATA: [Yes: 4.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Cleiver Inuma Chávez win the next Maynas mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $342
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Sivily Maritza Paz Pérez win the next Maynas mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $297
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Nery Mozombite Cerrón win the next Maynas mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $308
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Boris Guido Morey Sifuentes win the next Maynas mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $225
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Antony Jhonatan Pinedo Lozano win the next Maynas mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $222
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Jean Pier López Sifuentes win the next Maynas mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $251
  DATA: [Yes: 6.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.3% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $5.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Ernesto Concha La Torre win the next Maynas mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $454
  DATA: [Yes: 5.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.8% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Rubén Antonio Hernández Del Águila win the next Maynas mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $296
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Jenson Harold Rolando Mariñas Cárdenas win the next Maynas mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $291
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Cynthia Stefani Gómez Gómez win the next Maynas mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $323
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.8% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Euler Carlos Hernández Arévalo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $224
  DATA: [Yes: 6.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.6% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Tony Jonatan Mori Vargas win the next Maynas mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $309
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Juan Aguilar Gómez win the next Maynas mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $219
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Sergio Antonio Donayre Ramírez win the next Maynas mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $959
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics