Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?

Total Volume

$3.09K

Events

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When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?

Vol

$3.09K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $3.09K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.09K

100%

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3 markets tracked

Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Mar 1, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Mar 1, 2027?	Kalshi	40%
Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Dec 19, 2026?	Kalshi	26%
Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Nov 21, 2026?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

40%

Top Probability

$3.09K

Volume

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About This Event

Before Mar 1, 2027 If Hung Cao is the first person confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before X Y Z then the market resolves to Yes. Hung Cao must be the first person confirmed by the U.S. Senate as Secretary of the Navy before the applicable date. Serving as Acting Secretary, a presidential announcement of intent, formal nomination, committee hearing or report, cloture, or a scheduled vote does NOT constitute confirmation. If his nomination is withdrawn before a deadline, that market immediatel

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Mar 1, 2027

If Hung Cao is the first person confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before X Y Z then the market resolves to Yes. Hung Cao must be the first person confirmed by the U.S. Senate as Secretary of the Navy before the applicable date. Serving as Acting Secretary, a presidential announcement of intent, formal nomination, committee hearing or report, cloture, or a scheduled vote does NOT constitute confirmation. If his nomination is withdrawn before a deadline, that market immediatel

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Hung Cao is the first person confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Hung Cao must be the first person confirmed by the U.S. Senate as Secretary of the Navy before the applicable date. Serving as Acting Secretary, a presidential ann"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Mar 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Nov 21, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 28, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Dec 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 26, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?

Volume$3.09K

Markets3

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KALSHI

Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Mar 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 39.5¢No 60.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Mar 1, 2027?

If Hung Cao is the first person confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Hung Cao must be the first person confirmed by the U.S. Senate as Secretary of the Navy before the applicable date. Serving as Acting Secretary, a presidential ann

KALSHI

Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Dec 19, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Dec 19, 2026?

If Hung Cao is the first person confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Dec 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Hung Cao must be the first person confirmed by the U.S. Senate as Secretary of the Navy before the applicable date. Serving as Acting Secretary, a presidential an

KALSHI

Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Nov 21, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Nov 21, 2026?

If Hung Cao is the first person confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Nov 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Hung Cao must be the first person confirmed by the U.S. Senate as Secretary of the Navy before the applicable date. Serving as Acting Secretary, a presidential an

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/_yLf7Q" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?"></iframe>

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When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?

When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?

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Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Mar 1, 2027?

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Events (1)

When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?

Markets (3)

Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Mar 1, 2027?

Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Mar 1, 2027?

Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Dec 19, 2026?

Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Dec 19, 2026?

Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Nov 21, 2026?

Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Nov 21, 2026?

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Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Mar 1, 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?

Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Mar 1, 2027?

Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Mar 1, 2027?

Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Dec 19, 2026?

Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Dec 19, 2026?

Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Nov 21, 2026?

Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Nov 21, 2026?

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